I’m not talking about where is a hurricane going but rather predictions of how many
Let’s look at data. Let me take 2017
Predicted
- 11-17 named storms
- 5-9 hurricanes
- 2-4 major hurricanes
What I note is that there is a “top vs bottom” possibilities. They don’t go more that one year predictions because there are too many factors to be considered. Additionally, I note how far the bottom is from the top. It isn’t hard to predict if you give yourself that much leeway.
Actual
- 8 named storms
- 7 hurricanes
- 3 major hurricanes
Even with such a variance, they totally missed how many named storms although the hit the mark of hurricanes and major hurricanes.
Taking this into consideration, it would be quite difficult to predict earth's temperature 50 - 100 years from now with any certainty. Too many factors. A huge volcanic explosion can change the temperature of our earth (which I think it is immensely possible).
That being said, we should clean our oceans and rivers. Man has much to do with this.
IMV, we should limit the catch of ocean/river cleaning fish such as shrimp and clams.
Noting the change of temperature over time, I can’t come to the conclusion that man is the main cause of temperature change. I’m sure we have some responsibility but I can’t say the main cause since great change has happened when man wasn’t around.