ratiocinator
Lightly seared on the reality grill.
The coin flipping goblin is guiding the 'probability'?
Take more water with it....?
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The coin flipping goblin is guiding the 'probability'?
You don't seem to know what 'equally probable' means.
'Equally probable', is a fancy way of saying, 'no probability'
Your terminology is wrong. This does not show a difference between "fact" and "truth". What it shows is the distinction between "probability" and "outcome".Fact
Flipping a coin you have just as much chance as getting one side, or the other.
Truth
Flip a coin many times, and you have very little chance of getting a spree of same side ups. Any amount over 10 times, and it's pretty 'interesting', try it. Try to get 10 times same side up.
Now, as a fact, the number does not change, fifty fifty, and even that is abstract, as better put, you have 'just as much chance' of getting a spree as not.
So, try it, do you have 'facts', or is the truth going to present itself?
Start flipping if you want
Arguments, comments welcome
Fact
Flipping a coin you have just as much chance as getting one side, or the other.
Truth
Flip a coin many times, and you have very little chance of getting a spree of same side ups. Any amount over 10 times, and it's pretty 'interesting', try it. Try to get 10 times same side up.
Now, as a fact, the number does not change, fifty fifty, and even that is abstract, as better put, you have 'just as much chance' of getting a spree as not.
So, try it, do you have 'facts', or is the truth going to present itself?
Start flipping if you want
Arguments, comments welcome
Fact
Flipping a coin you have just as much chance as getting one side, or the other.
Truth
Flip a coin many times, and you have very little chance of getting a spree of same side ups. Any amount over 10 times, and it's pretty 'interesting', try it. Try to get 10 times same side up.
Now, as a fact, the number does not change, fifty fifty, and even that is abstract, as better put, you have 'just as much chance' of getting a spree as not.
So, try it, do you have 'facts', or is the truth going to present itself?
Start flipping if you want
Arguments, comments welcome
Wrong. Think of the Bell Curve. Out of a sample of ten flips, the top of the curve (being the most likely result) is 5-H/5-T. The two extremes of the curve (being the least likely results) are 10-H/0-T and 0-H/10-T. Within the sample size, the further you deviate from the average the less likely will be the result.I don't think it was what the OP meant with his post, that you can "cheat"... but correct me if im wrong?
The obvious conclusion that people might reach is that its definitely not as likely to get a spree as anything else. But the reason is because you have to look at it as a sequence of 10 rolls.
H = heads
T = tails
So getting:
H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H
Is just as likely as getting
H, H, H, H, H, H, H, H, T, H
That is what you mean right?
Yeah I see what you mean. Mine only apply if its 10 different numbersWrong. Think of the Bell Curve. Out of a sample of ten flips, the top of the curve (being the most likely result) is 5-H/5-T. The two extremes of the curve (being the least likely results) are 10-H/0-T and 0-H/10-T. Within the sample size, the further you deviate from the average the less likely will be the result.