and
metis
I found many links said , Earth is facing "mini" ice age between 2030 to 2040
Earth heading for 'mini ice age' in just 15 years, scientists say
http://www.upi.com/Top_News/World-N...n-just-15-years-scientists-say/2751436649025/
Here you go:
"A new study and related
press release from the Royal Astronomical Society is making the rounds in recent days, claiming that a new statistical analysis of sunspot cycles shows “solar activity will fall by 60 per cent during the 2030s” to a level that
last occurred during the so-called Little Ice Age, which ended 300 years ago.
Since climate change deniers have
a particular fascination with sunspot cycles, this story has predictably been picked up by all manner of conservative news media, with
a post in the
Telegraph quickly gathering up tens of thousands of shares. The only problem is, it’s a wildly inaccurate reading of the research.
Sunspots have been observed on a regular basis
for at least 400 years, and over that period, there’s a weak correlation between the number of sunspots and global temperature—most notably during a drastic downturn in the number of sunspots from about 1645 to 1715. Known as the Maunder minimum, this phenomenon happened about the same time as a decades-long European cold snap known as the Little Ice Age. That connection led to theory that this variability remains the dominant factor in Earth’s climate. Though that idea is still widely circulated, it’s been
disproved. In reality, sunspots fluctuate in an 11-year cycle, and the current cycle is the weakest
in 100 years—yet 2014 was the planet’s hottest year in recorded history.
If you look closely at the original press release, the study’s author, Valentina Zharkova, never implied a new ice age is imminent—only that we may see a sharp downturn in the number of sunspots. Yes, the sun is a variable star, but its
output is remarkably stable. The amount of energy we receive from the sun just doesn’t change fast enough to cause a rapid-onset ice age in just a few decades.
The root of the problem here may be a poorly worded quote in the press release implying an imminent 60 percent decline in solar activity. Yes,
numbers of sunspots can vary by that much or even more on an 11-year cycle, but the sun’s output—the total amount of energy we get—is extremely stable and only changes by about 0.1 percent, even in extreme sunspot cycles like the one Zharkova is predicting."
http://www.slate.com/blogs/future_t...ycles_won_t_cause_a_mini_ice_age_by_2030.html
It's a common and worrisome problem that journalists so routinely misinterpret and misrepresent someone else's scientific paper, but it happens every day.
I do not mean to debate by the way, just provide some accurate sources. I am more interested though about religious beliefs playing into climate change.