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The answer isn't 42, but it's close...

lewisnotmiller

Grand Hat
Staff member
Premium Member
I wish scientists would quit doing stuff like that. We have zero evidence of life such life on other planets, and to our best knowledge it is possible we are alone in the universe (even if we say and think that appears unlikely). Its like the light ring thingy (maybe that was the structure?) that was described, by a scientist, as an object constructed by aliens. Turns out it was some natural phenomena thingy. Or something. I don't remember, and thats not the point anyways. The point, something Neil DeGrasse Tyson pointed out as a necessity, is the "u" i UFO is unidentified. We don't know. Such evidenceless speculations do us no good, especially as we have recently had some of our fundamental understandings of biology and what is needed for life fundamentally and radically altered by the doscovery of life that functions sans oxygen.

Meh...scientists gonna science.
It's all about them grants cheques, baby.

Ultimately we have to be better (as a species) at understanding what a headline like this really means.
Imran, I know you get it, but some seem not to.
 

lewisnotmiller

Grand Hat
Staff member
Premium Member
I think it is extremely important and exciting because for the first time we really have an estimate for this number of active intelligent, communicating civilisations that we potentially could contact and find out there is other life in the universe – something that has been a question for thousands of years and is still not answered,” said Christopher Conselice, a professor of astrophysics at the University of Nottingham and a co-author of the research."

Hmmm, ... can I have that man's job?

It will soon become vacant. He appears to be getting his double-talk skills ready for a career in politics.
 

74x12

Well-Known Member
According to a new study, the number of advanced civilizations in the Milky Way is about 36...

Scientists say most likely number of contactable alien civilisations is 36

Of course, there is a margin of error for the estimate...

Thoughts or reactions?
Likely a contrived number according to numerology rules same with the number 42.

Both numbers are 6 significant obviously. 6x6 and 7x6. 7 being the number of completion. One full week. And so you have completion tied with the number 6.

36 is also an interesting number because if you add every number from 1 - 36 together you end up with 666.

Triplet of any number is to strengthen it or magnify it according to Biblical rules let every word be established by two or three witnesses.

That's why 11 is the master number. You multiply any number (1-9) by 11 you get it doubled in strength. Same principle applies with 111 but even stronger.
 

Dan From Smithville

What we've got here is failure to communicate.
Staff member
Premium Member
According to a new study, the number of advanced civilizations in the Milky Way is about 36...

Scientists say most likely number of contactable alien civilisations is 36

Of course, there is a margin of error for the estimate...

Thoughts or reactions?
It was 42, but number 6 is rather aggressive and has gone a-ridin' into numbers 3, 7, 8, 19, 23 and 41's part of the galaxy, a whampin' and whompin' every livin' thing that moves within an inch of its life. Except the women folks, of course.
 

lewisnotmiller

Grand Hat
Staff member
Premium Member
It was 42, but number 6 is rather aggressive and has gone a-ridin' into numbers 3, 7, 8, 19, 23 and 41's part of the galaxy, a whampin' and whompin' every livin' thing that moves within an inch of its life. Except the women folks, of course.

What about the children? Won't somebody think of the children??
 

Dan From Smithville

What we've got here is failure to communicate.
Staff member
Premium Member
What about the children? Won't somebody think of the children??
I am not certain those six species had children in the sense we understand them. They all reproduced by a type of binary fission known locally as 'this buds for you'. Of course, this is all speculation I insist be regarded as established fact.
 

SA Huguenot

Well-Known Member
It took me about 3 days and 3 nights to check their calculations, and I found an error.
The true number of alien civilisations we can get into contact with is 43.
These scientists, they are so careless in checking what they say, they make silly mistakes.
They did not count life on Mars for instance, and making contact with some single cell organism will also count as alian live we contacted with.
As for intelligent, well how do we know the future one celled organism on Mars is not intelligent, perhaps even more intelligent than our best scientists?

But, I am not talking about this life form at all.
We had an encounter of the first kind in 1445BC
Then in 33AD
the next one is close.
Alien life was proven a long time ago.
 

exchemist

Veteran Member
As I said, this is a recent discovery and I am very sure about it, no confusions on my part.
Scientists Find The First Animal That Doesn't Need Oxygen to Survive
Ah OK, I see what you're thinking. The point of that article was it is an animal, i.e. the first complex multicellular organism to have been found that is an anaerobe. It has been known for a long while that life does not require free oxygen, but until recently all the examples were single celled organisms.
 

exchemist

Veteran Member
Likely a contrived number according to numerology rules same with the number 42.

Both numbers are 6 significant obviously. 6x6 and 7x6. 7 being the number of completion. One full week. And so you have completion tied with the number 6.

36 is also an interesting number because if you add every number from 1 - 36 together you end up with 666.

Triplet of any number is to strengthen it or magnify it according to Biblical rules let every word be established by two or three witnesses.

That's why 11 is the master number. You multiply any number (1-9) by 11 you get it doubled in strength. Same principle applies with 111 but even stronger.
Would that be why Nigel Tufnell's amp goes up to 11, then? :D
 

exchemist

Veteran Member
Telling was the following:

“Basically, we made the assumption that intelligent life would form on other [Earth-like] planets like it has on Earth, so within a few billion years life would automatically form as a natural part of evolution,” said Conselice. [ibid]​

I also suspect (but cannot prove) that SETI optimists are more likely to be trained in the physical sciences rather than the biological sciences
Well I suppose all that assumption amounts to is an application of the principle of uniformitarianism. After all there is no reason to think the Earth is special. So it's not unreasonable, per se.

My uneasiness about the exercise is its untestability. As such it can only ever be a conjecture, rather than a scientific hypothesis. These conjectures grab headlines but give the public the wrong idea about science, I feel.
 

exchemist

Veteran Member
The hypothesis isn't untestable...just not testable in anything less than [probably] several hundred to several thousand years...:shrug:
A nice point!

It is in principle* testable, I suppose, in that signals could be received eventually by humanity to show these life forms were there.



*From "en principe, oui", a French expression meaning, "non" - to quote Walter J Moore, the author of my undergrad physical chemistry textbook. :D
 

beenherebeforeagain

Rogue Animist
Premium Member
A nice point!

It is in principle* testable, I suppose, in that signals could be received eventually by humanity to show these life forms were there.



*From "en principe, oui", a French expression meaning, "non" - to quote Walter J Moore, the author of my undergrad physical chemistry textbook. :D
I think it's important for scientists and lay readers alike to understand the time component in science...as well as the effort component...there are some who argue from "the Great Silence," ignoring that we 1) haven't been listening anywhere near long enough, and 2) haven't been listening to all of the radio, light and other EM frequencies available, and 3) haven't got nearly enough data about the origins of life and the development of intelligence and civilizations to make anything better than bald-faced guesses...but, it keeps the publish-or-perish crowd busy, and most of the articles like this rarely get read by more than a few hundred other people...
 

Heyo

Veteran Member
Extrapolating from a sample size of one? It seems to me that the operating "principle" is: "If it can happen it will." Maybe.
There is one method to extrapolate from a sample size of one that I find reasonable. Time. By slicing up our one example into aeons, we can estimate the probabilities to find certain characteristics. We have life on earth for about 4 out of 4 and 1/2 billion years. The chance of finding life on an earth like planet is about 80%. Out of those 25% have multicellular life. (1 billion years out of 4) Out of those about 0.2% have intelligent life. (2 million out of 1 billion) Out of those 0.005% have the technology that we can detect. (100 years out of 2 million)
Plug those numbers into the Drake Equation and you get about 1 civilization per galaxy.
 
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