Let’s keep in sight of our fundamental disagreement? Your argument was that unbelievers must show why they disbelieve in mystical beings because a majority happen to have mystical or supernatural beliefs. My argument is that those who make the claim must demonstrate the truth and not expect the unconvinced to provide it for themselves, majority views notwithstanding.
To clarify, my argument is that
it is reasonable for unbelievers to show why they disbelieve in mystical beings, etc. Do you see the difference between how you worded it?
Also, my personal position is that everyone has a responsibility to support their active beliefs, regardless of what they may be.
cottage said:
Regardless of any human quirks, or cognitive biases, or any other reason why a person might hold to an untrue belief, the undeniable fact remains that believers are adamantly claiming their beliefs to be true. You began by arguing that the theist majority have credibility, but now you appear to be saying it is a dubious credibility, which has been my argument all along. It hardly needs saying that theists themselves believe their faith-based notions are credible, it would be an absurd if they didn’t. But, if, as you’ve said before, theists are unable to understand why some doubt that credibility then perhaps they should look harder at their own beliefs first?
Finally, majority arguments may carry a lot of weight such as in ballots or voting systems, as well as in many everyday matters, and the beliefs behind them may or may not be subject to what is objectively true. But subjective doctrinal beliefs in mystical notions, necessarily held from faith alone, can never amount to more than a statistical truth, quite regardless of the number of people that subscribe to them. And the word ‘credibility’ is misused if it makes no reference to truth or soundness.
I understand your criticism here, and I have been struggling to find a way to adequately explain myself. Here goes:
When I use the word "credibility", I am speaking essentially of "believability"-- pieces of information that makes things more believable. These are things that effect our probability rating of whether something is
likely to be true or not; it is only indirectly related to whether something is actually true or not.
The number of people accepting a belief effects our likelihood rating: we rate things more likely to be true if more people believe it, and we rate things less likely to be true if not many people believe it.
It makes sense to do this. If many people believe there's a lion in a bush over there, then it's likely there's a lion in the bush and you shouldn't go over there.
Think of how you process whether something is likely to be true or not: Say one person in your neighborhood claims that he was abducted by aliens on Oct 12. You'll probably just dismiss him as a nutjob and not think twice about it.
Now say that 10 people in your neighborhood claim that they were abducted by aliens on Oct 12. This will make you pause and consider whether they could be telling the truth. At the very least, you'd probably believe that they all experienced some sort of phenomenon that should be investigated.
What is the difference between these two scenarios? The claim is exactly the same. The only difference is the number of people who are making it.
This is what I am talking about when I say credibility. The claim of the 10 people is more credible than the claim of the 1 person. It is more likely that the claim is true when more people are making the claim.