Friend of Mara
Active Member
As everyone who lived through 2016 we know that polls aren't always correct. However if they are accurate we are going to see a blue wave.
2020 Senate Election Forecast
2020 House Forecast
2020 Election Forecast
The 4 ways to make an amendment is as followed
1) 2/3 majority in both houses and 3/4 ratification by state legislators.
2) 2/3 majority in both houses and 3/4 ratifications by by states via ratifying conventions.
3) 2/3 of states call for a constitutional convention and ratified by 3/4 state legislators.
4) 2/3 of states call for a constitutional convention and ratified by 3/4 states during a ratifying convention.
Even with a majority in both chambers and a presidency dems does not hold a 2/3 majority in either. Even if they did dems do not control 3/4 of current state governments. Despite abolishing the electoral collage being supported by about 55-65% of voters (depending on year and poll A majority of Americans continue to favor replacing Electoral College with a nationwide popular vote) it still seems unlikely to pass. It is far less popular for republicans than democrats. While I cannot say this for a fact it seems that the EC as well as the power of less populous states overwhelmingly benefit republicans. So it seems unlikely that any amendment like this would pass.
Though calling a constitutional convention would be an interesting turn of events none the less. Do you think that there is any chance that some republican held states would buckle to popular opinion to at least give the vote a shot?
2020 Senate Election Forecast
2020 House Forecast
2020 Election Forecast
The 4 ways to make an amendment is as followed
1) 2/3 majority in both houses and 3/4 ratification by state legislators.
2) 2/3 majority in both houses and 3/4 ratifications by by states via ratifying conventions.
3) 2/3 of states call for a constitutional convention and ratified by 3/4 state legislators.
4) 2/3 of states call for a constitutional convention and ratified by 3/4 states during a ratifying convention.
Even with a majority in both chambers and a presidency dems does not hold a 2/3 majority in either. Even if they did dems do not control 3/4 of current state governments. Despite abolishing the electoral collage being supported by about 55-65% of voters (depending on year and poll A majority of Americans continue to favor replacing Electoral College with a nationwide popular vote) it still seems unlikely to pass. It is far less popular for republicans than democrats. While I cannot say this for a fact it seems that the EC as well as the power of less populous states overwhelmingly benefit republicans. So it seems unlikely that any amendment like this would pass.
Though calling a constitutional convention would be an interesting turn of events none the less. Do you think that there is any chance that some republican held states would buckle to popular opinion to at least give the vote a shot?