Will China invade Taiwan ?

[epronovost]

I think you are misreading the Chinese position on this. To my knowledge, the PRC has only ever made threatening gestures when it looked like the government of Taiwan might actually declare independence.

Contrary to popular belief in the US, the PRC and the ROC are actually rather close economically (Taiwan imports most of its goods from the PRC, and in turn invests most of its capital there) and maintain a lucrative and, arguably, mutually beneficial economic partnership that would almost certainly be endangered by both Taiwanese independence and Chinese annexation. That's arguably one reason why Trump's open support for the ROC government raised so much concern in the world of international diplomacy, as it was upsetting a relatively stable but ambiguous situation.

Not really no. The PRC has stated about a decade ago that Taiwan was a rebellious province and that its complete reunification was a central objective for the rejuvenation of the Chinese State. While the PRC and Taiwan were indeed happy with the status quo for decades, Xi Jinping has made reunification a central element of his foreign policy and development platform. It's in association with the claims to the East Chinese seas for fishing and commerce. Those claims rely on Taiwan being a PRC territory. This was prior to the arrival of Trump as a POTUS.

 

[Bluedragon]

China has more problems than an attempted invasion of Taiwan at this time.

Taiwan had the spy network in place that reported COVID first. In fact, Taiwan reported this to the UN and WHO. Under these conditions, it would not be difficult, for Taiwan spies to report buildups to the US first, while satellites recorded the buildups. The problems are greater than the first reports ..

Right now, China is removing troops from Tibet. Why? Ill prepared and not militarily prepared.

This gets greater in detail.

China is not expected to have Stealth technology capability until 2035. This means everything flown is seen well in advance and makes the Chinese military sitting ducks in a shooting war. At the same time ...Xi knows he has a massive problem at the Three Gorges Dam. One lone bombing run by one lone stealth bomber and one well placed hit .....turns the river into a massive flood event. Wuhan goes under water. Eleven Million dead in Wuhan alone. Every manufacturing sector on the river destroyed within hours. A world wide economic hit.

OK, so China retaliates with Nuclear Missiles. In their arsenal there are 600 warheads .....Devastating for certain ...but the US answer? 3,000 then turn and tell Russia to stand down because there are 3,000 more meant for them.. China is surrounded by neighbors that have missiles as well .....not a good scenario for China.

The only question? Biden and his Administration.

 

[amorphous_constellation]

In their arsenal there are 600 warheads .....Devastating for certain ...but the US answer? 3,000 then turn and tell Russia to stand down because there are 3,000 more meant for them..

Then turn and face nuclear winter. Unless you can cite where that actually wouldn't happen

 

[JIMMY12345]

China has more problems than an attempted invasion of Taiwan at this time.

Taiwan had the spy network in place that reported COVID first. In fact, Taiwan reported this to the UN and WHO. Under these conditions, it would not be difficult, for Taiwan spies to report buildups to the US first, while satellites recorded the buildups. The problems are greater than the first reports ..

Right now, China is removing troops from Tibet. Why? Ill prepared and not militarily prepared.

This gets greater in detail.

China is not expected to have Stealth technology capability until 2035. This means everything flown is seen well in advance and makes the Chinese military sitting ducks in a shooting war. At the same time ...Xi knows he has a massive problem at the Three Gorges Dam. One lone bombing run by one lone stealth bomber and one well placed hit .....turns the river into a massive flood event. Wuhan goes under water. Eleven Million dead in Wuhan alone. Every manufacturing sector on the river destroyed within hours. A world wide economic hit.

OK, so China retaliates with Nuclear Missiles. In their arsenal there are 600 warheads .....Devastating for certain ...but the US answer? 3,000 then turn and tell Russia to stand down because there are 3,000 more meant for them.. China is surrounded by neighbors that have missiles as well .....not a good scenario for China.

The only question? Biden and his Administration.

Good points.
China is sensitive to world opinion. It has seen the major internal and economic hurt Russia is suffering. They may think it is smarter to move on. Other projects offer better returns.