leroy
Well-Known Member
You are positing an environment which could not exist, given the initial hypothesis. All organisms would be predators, given that the Stage 1 organism basically consists entirely of organic molecules which would be food for them. How did it manage to escape to an environment where they didn't exist? (Same question for your third scenario, in which you posit an environment in which "the predators are simply gone.")
You are positing an organism which has only slight differences in its genome from the absolutely simplest organism, which is entirely helpless against predators, in an environment which is full of them, but which is somehow able -- through one or two mutations -- to reproduce super-fast, faster than it can be eaten. And the Stage 3 organisms never catch up to this new development, never evolve better and faster methods of predation.
Even if my objections are not telling, I was not asking for a "scenario" in which organisms of entirely unspecified genotypes and phenotypes evolved through entire unspecified mutations into organisms far better adapted for survival. I was asking you, essentially, to show your work. What kinds of mutations would do that? Would an organism so simple even have the genetic material needed to make them possible? If so, would they be possible without creating greater drawbacks? (Similarly, in the case of the flying amphibian, if a biologist insisted that such an organism was possible, they would be obliged to show their work: "a mutation here, here and here could turn the webs of the front legs into..." or whatever.)
Now in a sense this is unfair, since biologists haven't yet described the hypothetical genome. The point is, given this fact, it makes no sense to say "but we know that such organisms could have evolved in directions X, Y and Z, if they needed to." We don't know anything of the sort. Mutations and natural selection can do a lot of things, but they cannot just give any organism everything they need. If they could, none would ever go extinct. So an argument like yours -- which depends on the assumption that of course they could have done it, and done it without increased complexity too! -- just doesn't get off the ground.
And here's the real breaking point, so far as I'm concerned, when it comes to this conversation. You are actually, literally saying there is no contradiction between
"Organisms of type 1 would have been too simple to have been capable of surviving at all," and
"Organisms of type 1 would have been capable of thriving and adapting, and doing so without increased complexity."
Well, it is just self-evident that this is a contradiction, that it is impossible for both statements to be true. And since your argument depends on adopting both horns of this contradiction, your argument fails.
Usually, in discussions like these, we get to the point where you say to me, "Ah, but if you were right about A, then B would follow, and B is obviously absurd," and my only recourse is to say that obvious absurdity B would not follow. If I just dug my heels in, however, and proclaimed "I stand by this absurdity!" then I think you would be entirely within your rights to say "OK, there's no point in trying further to refute an argument which has already refuted itself that effectively, so I don't see the point in continuing to argue."
Really? You can't imagine a little pond where stage 2 organisms lived happily where no predators ever finding them?
You can't imagine a scenario where an organism reproduces fast enough such that predators would only eat a small portion of the population?
You can't imagine a scenario where the shield was useless anyway, such that it would be better to loose such trait?
If these scenarios are realistic today and have been observed (or inferred) why assuming that none of this could have happened in the ancient past?
I was asking you, essentially, to show your work. What kinds of mutations would do that? Would an organism so simple even have the genetic material needed to make them possible? If so, would they be possible without creating greater drawbacks?
That request is unrealistic, nobody knows which mutations caused modern stuff like eyes, ears, etc. So asking "which mutations caused x and y within ancient hypothetical organisms seens to be an unrealistic request.
I could make the same request," show me exactly which mutations lead from simple life to modern-like life"
But let's say that in order to go from stage 1 to stage 2 you need 10 gene duplications + some point mutations
Is it really hard to imagine an organism in stage 2 that suffered from a few delations and that these delations happened to be benefitial or neutral in his particular environment ? What's so incredible and unrealistic about this scenario?
Well, it is just self-evident that this is a contradiction
Again, I don't think simple organisms ever existed, but if they existed then NS and genetic drift would affect them in the same way the affect modern organisms.
That would be my position and I see no contradiction