Karl R
Active Member
It's election season, so we're continuously being bombarded by fear-mongering by politicians trying to get our votes. (And if it wasn't election season, companies would still be filling the airwaves with fear-mongering to sell us stuff.)
This morning, Donald Trump tweeted:
"Crooked Hillary Clinton wants to flood our country with Syrian immigrants that we know little or nothing about. The danger is massive. NO!"
How "massive" is the danger?
In 2014, 2015 and 2016 combined, 109 people in the U.S. have been killed by terrorists (this includes attacks that were potentially politically motivated, like the Colorado Springs Planned Parenthood shooting and the recent murder of five police in Dallas; this number excludes the perpetrators, who are sometimes listed among the dead in the source).
For comparison:
During the same period, 73 people in the U.S. were killed by lightning.
Each year, 60-70 people in the U.S. are electrocuted by consumer electronics.
Each year, about 355 people in the U.S. die falling off of ladders.
Each year, about 450 people in the U.S. die falling out of bed.
Based on the statistics, my bed at least 10 times more dangerous than terrorists.
How dangerous are Syrian refugees?
Germany has accepted 1 million Syrian refugees. In 2014, 2015 and 2015, they have had 11 deaths and 27 injuries due to terrorist attacks. Two of those attacks were committed by Syrian refugees, making them responsible for 1 death and 14 injuries.
Turkey has accepted 2.5 million Syrian refugees. In the past 12 months, they have had 125 deaths and 485 injuries due to terrorist attacks (some of those attacks were committed by Turkish Kurds, not Syrians).
So Turkey, which lacks adequate border controls with Syria, has had one death and four injuries per 20,000 Syrian refugees. Germany has (with greater control over which Syrian refugees immigrate) has had one death per 1 million Syrian refugees.
By comparison, Hillary Clinton is proposing accepting 10,000 to 65,000 Syrian refugees through the U.S screening process, which takes 18-36 months.
What is the worst-case scenario?
Baghdad and Mosul, Iraq are rank #1 and #3 in the world for terrorism. Their annual terrorism death rates (about 30-45 per 100,000 population) are roughly equal to the homicide rate in Kingston, Jamaica ... where I've been ... on vacation ... twice. (They're also similar to the homicide rates for Baltimore, Detroit, Newark, New Orleans and St Louis)
Other than the four worst terrorism cities in the world, The per captia annual terrorism death rates (less than 10 per 100,000 population) are numbers that I'm very familiar with. I live in Houston (homicide rate of 10.9 per 100,000 population).
This morning, Donald Trump tweeted:
"Crooked Hillary Clinton wants to flood our country with Syrian immigrants that we know little or nothing about. The danger is massive. NO!"
How "massive" is the danger?
In 2014, 2015 and 2016 combined, 109 people in the U.S. have been killed by terrorists (this includes attacks that were potentially politically motivated, like the Colorado Springs Planned Parenthood shooting and the recent murder of five police in Dallas; this number excludes the perpetrators, who are sometimes listed among the dead in the source).
For comparison:
During the same period, 73 people in the U.S. were killed by lightning.
Each year, 60-70 people in the U.S. are electrocuted by consumer electronics.
Each year, about 355 people in the U.S. die falling off of ladders.
Each year, about 450 people in the U.S. die falling out of bed.
Based on the statistics, my bed at least 10 times more dangerous than terrorists.
How dangerous are Syrian refugees?
Germany has accepted 1 million Syrian refugees. In 2014, 2015 and 2015, they have had 11 deaths and 27 injuries due to terrorist attacks. Two of those attacks were committed by Syrian refugees, making them responsible for 1 death and 14 injuries.
Turkey has accepted 2.5 million Syrian refugees. In the past 12 months, they have had 125 deaths and 485 injuries due to terrorist attacks (some of those attacks were committed by Turkish Kurds, not Syrians).
So Turkey, which lacks adequate border controls with Syria, has had one death and four injuries per 20,000 Syrian refugees. Germany has (with greater control over which Syrian refugees immigrate) has had one death per 1 million Syrian refugees.
By comparison, Hillary Clinton is proposing accepting 10,000 to 65,000 Syrian refugees through the U.S screening process, which takes 18-36 months.
What is the worst-case scenario?
Baghdad and Mosul, Iraq are rank #1 and #3 in the world for terrorism. Their annual terrorism death rates (about 30-45 per 100,000 population) are roughly equal to the homicide rate in Kingston, Jamaica ... where I've been ... on vacation ... twice. (They're also similar to the homicide rates for Baltimore, Detroit, Newark, New Orleans and St Louis)
Other than the four worst terrorism cities in the world, The per captia annual terrorism death rates (less than 10 per 100,000 population) are numbers that I'm very familiar with. I live in Houston (homicide rate of 10.9 per 100,000 population).