His policies have More Americans Gasping Air. You'll be breathing so much you'll get tired of breathing.
No, that means that more will die than needed to. The curve will have two parts: an initial spike followed by a slower, more prologed period of contagion with lower numbers sick at any given time. The first group will have a higher death rate, since disproportionately more of them will be unable to receive potentially life-saving care.
The Trump administration may simply be ordering the CDC to publish false statistics, something he has no control over with the others. We should expect that given what we know of Trump, his values, and his history of removing or altering inconvenient information on government web sites. Trump is a continual liar. It's unwise to forget that.
Here's a good example of how his administration manipulates public information in support of business interests and agains those of ordinary people:
https://www.vox.com/energy-and-envi...on-removing-climate-change-epa-online-website
Assuming that we are talking about Americans, why were they overseas? Why are Americans currently quarantined on cruise ships? For every person that would answer that it is because they considered the threat a hoax, that's one you can hang on Trump.
But you'll have to do it with Trump in opposition. Expect him to resist error identification and correction if he thinks it reflects poorly on him, and he will.
And I think it is to excuse lack of preparedness, or more correctly, a refusal to simply say that Trump failed America. No Trump voter wants to say that "yeah, maybe I shouldn't have voted for that man - maybe I damaged my country and fellow Americans."
I don't expect anybody at all to say, "I should have known better than to vote for a person with those values, and maybe the people who realized what a problem this man was earlier than I did weren't deranged after all. Maybe they had a point objecting so strenuously to this degree of immorality and incompetence."
But that's not going to happen. Just comments that deflect from that.
That's not unanswerable. What's unanswerable is exactly how much more quickly Hillary would have been all over this and in exactly what way on what date.
Are you really unsure whether Clinton would have run circles around Trump outperforming him? How could Trump have done worse?
That's American Republicanism. That's what they do. If Americans keep voting for these people, they should expect more of the same.
The past informs us of the future. Expect more of the same from Trump.
This is not the time to whitewash or protect Trump. This is the time to acknowledge that he was a mistake and continues to be a problem for America and Americans. How many more Americans will die for believing Trump and getting the infection altogether up front? America needs to learn to stop listening to that man.
So I'd say that this is very much a time to reflect on what went wrong and how to do better next time.
Determining what went wrong in the past helps us to not make the same mistakes again in the future. There's an election coming up. People obviously didn't know what a mistake Trump was. Those that had the foresight and judgment to recognize this before November 2016 don't need to learn. The others do before they vote again.
We can know many things about the future with varying degrees of certitude without being gods. Extrapolating from the past is often helpful. Simply being a human being is enough to know that Hillary Clinton would have handled this matter more intelligently. She's more intelligent than Trump. And honest. And competent.
His character always matters, and will determine his behavior. Expect more lies because his character isn't good enough for him to care. Expect more ignorance. Expect more damage to America because of him. America very much needs qualified leadership at a time when all it has is incompetence. It needs a seasoned captain at the helm, not this incompetent narcissist.
Expect much more theft and violence, and need for police and military because the crisis is more sever than it needed to be. Trump's character will matter again then. And I think we know how he'll respond - more lies, division, and misinformation just when the opposite is needed. He'll be angry like a tyrant rather than reassuring and presidential.
Yours is the mistake that white evangelical Christian American made in 2016 and again in Alabama when the credibly accused pedophile Roy Moore was narrowly defeated by people who did care about character.
The people who trusted Trump will die in greater proportion than those who understood not to listen to him since so many of them will be in the initial peak when they will more likely to be be sent home from overcrowded hospitals and left to fend for themselves.
You shouldn't. Nor those from America.
Do the math. A million Americans is about 1/325th of the nation's population. Any (infectivity rate x fatality rate) product equaling 0.003 or more will translate to a million deaths. If the death rate is 1% (0.01) and the infectivity rate is 30% (0.30), there's a million deaths.
And these are conservative estimates. What if the infectivity rate is closer to 50% and the fatality rate closer to 3%?
50% (0.5) x 3% (0.03) is 0.015. That's 5 million deaths (about 1/60th of all Americans).
You can do the math for 70% and 5% yourself.
We don't know what these variables will be, but a million Americans is a conservative estimate. It uses lower numbers than any being bandied about at this time.
