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Place Your US Election Predictions Here
- Thread starter Left Coast
- Start date
Secret Chief
nirvana is samsara
This mail ballot delay seems....
In th UK, they are counted BEFORE the day of the election. So no delays.
In th UK, they are counted BEFORE the day of the election. So no delays.
Secret Chief
nirvana is samsara
Been predicting for a few years now Trump loses but this year since March I notched it up to a Democratic landslide. Not even close enough to get the courts involved.
What evidence leads you to that conclusion?
Here you go
Trump is only pandering to his base he has not even tried to reach out to others.
The independents are polling at 65% Biden/ 35% Trump whereas in 2016 Trump had the higher percentage
The Democrats were divided themselves with Hillary, they are not divided with Biden
The Republicans gave almost full support to Trump 2016 (Hated Hilary) In 2020 actively promote against Trump( Lincoln Group and others)
The pandemic
The unemployment rate
Trumps Taxes(new)
Why congress as well
People generally vote in an election year with who they pick as president (Dem pres, dem sen, dem rep)
Lincoln Group actively promoting against Republican Senators
Republican Congressman have not shown any separation from Trump
There's also a bunch of little ones where the population is over 60% on causes that oppose the Republican party.
Secret Chief
nirvana is samsara
I think it'll get really ugly if Trump claims he has won.
What poll are you citing?
In the recent Monmouth poll, Independents are split 43/41 for Trump. Voters Split on Filling SCOTUS Seat | Monmouth University Polling Institute
Another recent NYT/Siena college poll showed Indepedents with a 51/30 lead for Biden.
Another recent Emerson College poll shows Biden ahead with Independents 46/39.
RealClearPolitics - Election 2020 - General Election: Trump vs. Biden
What polls show this?
What polls show that Reps are breaking away from Trump in any significant numbers?
They are worried that not all ballots will be received by election day. Perhaps this says more about our postal service than the election.
Secret Chief
nirvana is samsara
Sorry, didn't know it was a developing country.They are worried that not all ballots will be received by election day. Perhaps this says more about our postal service than the election.
Its my prediction and my statistic's we will see who is right after the election.
They are worried that not all ballots will be received by election day. Perhaps this says more about our postal service than the election.
Postal service has been ridiculously slow lately, and I don't see this clearing up in time for the election. 2 day shipping's turned into 3 week shipping. I understand circumstances aren't great right now, but voting by mail seems risky. (Voting in person is risky too, but on another level.)
Certainly not on 3rd party... It's just a matter of it's hard enough to get people to agree that one of these two should be sitting in the chair.
Yeah, I missed that... I just got done meditating and was sort of still 'spaced out' when I read that, lol. Takes me a bit to 'come back' to the mundane after that.
What's the difference between men and pigs?
I honestly think that was Trump's biggest advantage over Clinton in 2016 -- when nobody expects much of you, it's hard to dissapoint.
Pigs don't get drunk and act like men
I honestly think that was Trump's biggest advantage over Clinton in 2016 -- when nobody expects much of you, it's hard to dissapoint.
wandering peacefully
Which way to the woods?
Biden will win because people will pour out of the woodwork to vote for him who have never voted or never voted democrat before this nightmare orange creature was elected.
I hope the Senate switches and it may if enough people are sick of those same faces getting nothing done for them and only caring about and voting for policies that benefit the wealthiest Americans, themselves, and their lobbyists.
I still have a deep fear all the same circus clowns will be voted back in. I never would have dreamed it could happen the first time so who can really know?
Twilight Hue
Twilight, not bright nor dark, good nor bad.
And hence the concerns about mail-in voting, particularly in states that have no history doing vote by mail.Sorry, didn't know it was a developing country.
I think Biden scrapes home in both popular and electoral, and then there is an ongoing legal controversy for the rest of the year before an (ultimately) peaceful transfer of power.
Whilst that would normally seem like a pretty horrible outcome for an election, I think I'm probably being a little optimistic.
Whilst that would normally seem like a pretty horrible outcome for an election, I think I'm probably being a little optimistic.