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Is Precognition ability test scientific?

Discussion in 'Science and Technology' started by questfortruth, Dec 10, 2019.

  1. questfortruth

    questfortruth Well-Known Member

    May 19, 2017
    Eastern Orthodox Christianity
    Anything can be examined by science, even the beliefs like "unscientific precognition" (e.g. by TV-show "Mythbusters")?

    The needed test starts by:
    Take the PC random number generator, which output is 1 or 2.
    Make it run 3 times, hereby you try to predict the coming number.
    Using Science calculate the theoretical probabilities for all 3 successful guesses, and then for 2, 1, 0 successful guesses. You will start a 4x2 table.
    Repeat the procedure 100x100 times, and calculate the experimental probabilities for those guesses with the calculated standard deviation for each class (3,2,1,0) of guesses - the sigma_1, sigma_2, sigma_3, sigma_0. If in some of 4 classes the difference between experimental and theoretical probability will be larger than 5 sigma-s, then it is the confirmation of the precognition ability.

    Opponent: "Getting that down to 5 sigmas with human experiments is going to be impractical, to say the least."

    I strongly disagree. My test above, if the effect is present, easily gets 5 sigma. Just say 10000 numbers (1 or 2) in a row, then let run the random generator. You do not need to run the generator every time you predict a number. Just say 10000 numbers one after another, and then run the random generator. Then you will definitely exclude the effect or confirm it. Hereby replace in the text above the classes (3,2,1,0) with simple (1,0) for saving the experiment time.
    The people have not tried to get 5sigma, they are afraid to. Prophet Jesus Christ and the thinker Sokrates were murdered for following the Truth.
  2. viole

    viole Metaphysical Naturalist
    Premium Member

    Mar 19, 2014
    Gnostic Atheism
    Precognition works only for those who have no normal cognition, lol.


    - viole
  3. Heyo

    Heyo Well-Known Member

    Aug 1, 2019
    No objection to your setup but a suggestion: set the random number generator to output a number from 0 to 99 (or 999). That way you have much less coinciding hits and thus have to make fewer tests to reach a confidence level.