How has India changed under Modi?

[ronki23]

Good points:

Under Narendra Modi, India's growth (which had previously slowed down under Congress) went from 7.41% in 2014 to 8.15% in 2015; India's growth rate has exceeded China's and is still averaging over 6% per annum. According to CEIC the deficits have shrunk from 4.4% of GDP to 3.5% (Source: India Consolidated Fiscal Balance: % of GDP [1998 - 2019] [Data & Charts]) . Part of this reason is the goods and services tax (GST).

Foreign direct investment has increased in India albeit disproportionately to GDP increases,

"The Foreign Direct investment (FDI) has displayed increase in absolute numbers from $45.15 billion in FY15 to $60.97 in FY18 but the rate of growth in FDI inflows is falling consecutively since the last two years. Recording a growth of just 1.24 per cent in FY18." (Source:FDI into India up from $45 billion to $61 billion in 4 years, but rate of growth is slowing down).

However, it has become much easier to do business in India; before he took power India ws ranked 134th but now it's in 77th place

Modi has invested in Khelo India (under 17 and under 21 sporting events for students), Swachh Bharat (clean drinking water), Lokpal (anti corruption ombudsman) and Ayushman Bharat (healthcare coverage for all).

Like when Thatcher sunk the Belgrano when Argentina invaded the Falklands, Modi too undertook airstrikes on Pakistani targets in Balakot, Chakothi and Muzaffarabad after 40 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) were killed in Kashmir by Jaish-e-Mohammed, an ally of the Taliban and founded by Masood Azhar, friend of Osama bin Laden.

Bad points:

Ayushman Bharat doesn't cover diabetes, high blood pressure or arthritis but I don't see how that's Modi's fault since he only just set it up? I also heard outpatient care isn't covered?

Unemployment has gone up from what i've read- the male workforce has shrunk. Is this true?

Apparently demonetisation was a disaster- 80,00,000,000 or 8000,00,000,000 rupees were spent just creating banknotes; 1.5% of GDP decreased, 1.5 million jobs were lost and most importantly, 100 lives were lost. Can someone explain to me why?

 

[ronki23]

Anyone else have any input?

@Aupmanyav what do you think about the negatives of the 5 years of Modi?

 

[Valjean]

Same changes you always see when politics shifts to the right. Authoritarianism, conventionalism, intolerance and aggressiveness.

-- but the trains run on time...

 

[Aupmanyav]

Yeah, there have been negatives. But they are outweighed by the benefits. Modi is modern, strong and honest. The rest are all rogues, not just the 'Family', but all the rest. 'RG', 'Fam' and 'AP' will appear in the court to answer the Augusta helicopter charges on May 11. The sun-in-law has been advised to cooperate with the investigation, otherwise he would be investigated in Enforcement Directorate's custody.

 

[ManSinha]

When we went to visit a couple of years ago - my kids took a pic of a street vegetable seller accepting PayTM - the demonitisation and its woes are certainly real but the perhaps unconscious movement to force the mainstream cash economy to start moving towards international standards has also been a positive for the tourism industry. Shops in Amritsar now take credit cards!

The opening up of the temple to females (irrespective of menstrual status) is another positive of the equality movement (whether that is due to Modi or simply strong enlightened Indian women asserting themselves or both - I do not know) - as is the abolition of a certain group of individuals to divorce by saying "talaak" three times over

Now to abolish their privilege of being allowed to marry more than once - abolish article 370 and we shall on our way.

By the way - just for the record - I will gladly go up against any idiot that advocates khalistan - ever wonder how the ones shouting the loudest are in the UK and if asked if they will return in case it comes to be - they universally change the subject. Guru Tegh Bahadur and Guru Gobind Singh did not give shaheedi for khalistan!!

But I digress - I like the direction of the country. Some things like deep rooted corruption and allowing prior criminals to run for political office will have to go eventually. But I am sure we shall get there.

 

[sayak83]

Good points:

Under Narendra Modi, India's growth (which had previously slowed down under Congress) went from 7.41% in 2014 to 8.15% in 2015; India's growth rate has exceeded China's and is still averaging over 6% per annum. According to CEIC the deficits have shrunk from 4.4% of GDP to 3.5% (Source: India Consolidated Fiscal Balance: % of GDP [1998 - 2019] [Data & Charts]) . Part of this reason is the goods and services tax (GST).

Foreign direct investment has increased in India albeit disproportionately to GDP increases,

"The Foreign Direct investment (FDI) has displayed increase in absolute numbers from $45.15 billion in FY15 to $60.97 in FY18 but the rate of growth in FDI inflows is falling consecutively since the last two years. Recording a growth of just 1.24 per cent in FY18." (Source:FDI into India up from $45 billion to $61 billion in 4 years, but rate of growth is slowing down).

However, it has become much easier to do business in India; before he took power India ws ranked 134th but now it's in 77th place

Modi has invested in Khelo India (under 17 and under 21 sporting events for students), Swachh Bharat (clean drinking water), Lokpal (anti corruption ombudsman) and Ayushman Bharat (healthcare coverage for all).

Like when Thatcher sunk the Belgrano when Argentina invaded the Falklands, Modi too undertook airstrikes on Pakistani targets in Balakot, Chakothi and Muzaffarabad after 40 Central Reserve Police Force (CRPF) were killed in Kashmir by Jaish-e-Mohammed, an ally of the Taliban and founded by Masood Azhar, friend of Osama bin Laden.

Bad points:

Ayushman Bharat doesn't cover diabetes, high blood pressure or arthritis but I don't see how that's Modi's fault since he only just set it up? I also heard outpatient care isn't covered?

Unemployment has gone up from what i've read- the male workforce has shrunk. Is this true?

Apparently demonetisation was a disaster- 80,00,000,000 or 8000,00,000,000 rupees were spent just creating banknotes; 1.5% of GDP decreased, 1.5 million jobs were lost and most importantly, 100 lives were lost. Can someone explain to me why?

The economy has suffered under the current BJP rule and quite a few missteps of the Mr. Modi. Here is more data-oriented take on what has gone wrong.
The Mirage of Modinomics
GDP growth has been average of 7 - 7.5% , just like the decade before.
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 1.svg

What has been worse, is that in the last five years, the growth has not yielded increasing jobs. In fact job losses have occured on a wide scale. This can be seen in the sky-rocketing unemployment rates of the recent years,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 2.svg

Agricultural growth rate has remained abysmal,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 3.svg

One of the key promises of Mr. Modi was high growth in agriculture (9%!) and increasing exports through made-in-India goods. Agriculture, we see already. In exports, situation is even worse,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 6.svg

On top of this, the BJP government has eaten into the independence of the institutions of the nation. For example the government has repeatedly fudged economic data, suppressed unfavourable data and fired RBI leads and other economists when they disagreed with govt. policies. Here is an example,
Economists allege political interference in statistical data

Finally has the Ganges been cleaned? See for yourself,

Given the poor government performance, the BJP has resorted to communal far right politics to stir up animosity against the minorities hoping that such emotions will give them votes. This trend can be seen in the data,
Our New Hate-Crime Database: 76% Of Victims Over 10 Years Minorities; 90% Attacks Reported Since 2014 - FactChecker

254 religious identity-based hate crimes reported in India between January 1, 2009, and October 29, 2018, at least 91 persons were killed and 579 were injured, according to a new FactChecker.indatabase, released on October 30, 2018. About 90% (229) of these attacks were reported after May 2014, when the current Bharatiya Janata Party-led government assumed power nationally.

The Citizen’s Religious Hate-Crime Watch (Hate Crime Watch, in short) records that Muslims, who comprise 14% of India’s population, were the victims in 62% of cases (158 of 254) and Christians, 2% of the population, in 14% (35) of cases.

Hindus, constituting the majority or 80% of the population, were victims in 10% (25) of the cases.

Of the 172 cases in which the religion of the alleged perpetrator is known, 86% cases involved Hindus (148 cases), Hate Crime Watch shows. In 13% or 22 cases, the attackers were Muslim. In 82 cases, the religion of the attacker was not known.

The most fatalities were also recorded in UP (21), followed by Jharkhand (12) and Rajasthan (9).

Most non-fatal hate crimes were recorded in Bihar, UP and Madhya Pradesh, where at least 128, 104 and 70 persons had been reportedly injured, respectively.


The impact of far-right politics has also caused a revival of the insurgency in Kashmir, where civillian government was brought down and direct central president's rule imposed by the BJP last year.

64% rise in terror incidents in Kashmir during BJP-PDP rule, shows data

There was a 64% rise in terror incidents in Jammu and Kashmir over three years to 2017, providing some perspective to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) decision to call off its three-year alliance with the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017–up from 208 in 2015 to 342 in 2017–according to an IndiaSpend analysis of government data.

As many as 744 people died in these three years: 471 terrorists, 201 security forces and 72 civilians, the data show.

The increasing stridency in Hindutva politics has led to increasing recruitment in Islamic millitancy as the two trends of hate feed off each other.

Kashmir Conflict Tracker | ORF
In charts: Data shows the failure of Modi government’s Kashmir and Pakistan policies

The other way, BJP is seeking to win is through blitzing on every media (including social media) portal with paid news, articles and through twitter/facebook advertising. Incredibly, for a party that has claimed to be strong on corrupt busineeses (with no actual acheivements on that front so far), BJP has cornered 95% of funds given by the big donors among the 100 or so national parties!

In charts: Who funds India’s political parties?

The election watchdog also analysed donations above Rs 20,000 for national parties in its report. In this, the Bharatiya Janata Party garnered an incredible 93% share or Rs 437.04 crore in 2017-’18. The Congress came a distant second with Rs 26.66 crore or 5.67% of the total known donations to national parties.

https://factly.in/its-official-95-of-the-electoral-bonds-purchased-in-2017-18-went-to-the-bjp/

As per the 2017-18 annual audit report submitted by the BJP to the ECI, the party received ₹ 210 crore worth contribution in the form of electoral bonds. This is a whopping 95% of all the electoral bonds purchased in 2017-18. Since the design of the scheme does not allow for the disclosure of names of the contributors, it is impossible to find out who contributed these ₹ 210 crore to the BJP.



I will let these numbers speak for themselves regarding how the BJP has done....

Please hit reply button to see all the figures..or go to the links

 

[ronki23]

The economy has suffered under the current BJP rule and quite a few missteps of the Mr. Modi. Here is more data-oriented take on what has gone wrong.
The Mirage of Modinomics
GDP growth has been average of 7 - 7.5% , just like the decade before.
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 1.svg

What has been worse, is that in the last five years, the growth has not yielded increasing jobs. In fact job losses have occured on a wide scale. This can be seen in the sky-rocketing unemployment rates of the recent years,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 2.svg

Agricultural growth rate has remained abysmal,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 3.svg

One of the key promises of Mr. Modi was high growth in agriculture (9%!) and increasing exports through made-in-India goods. Agriculture, we see already. In exports, situation is even worse,
https://www.theindiaforum.in/sites/default/files/pictures/Ghatak and Mukherjee_Mirage of Modinomics_Figure 6.svg

On top of this, the BJP government has eaten into the independence of the institutions of the nation. For example the government has repeatedly fudged economic data, suppressed unfavourable data and fired RBI leads and other economists when they disagreed with govt. policies. Here is an example,
Economists allege political interference in statistical data

Finally has the Ganges been cleaned? See for yourself,

Given the poor government performance, the BJP has resorted to communal far right politics to stir up animosity against the minorities hoping that such emotions will give them votes. This trend can be seen in the data,
Our New Hate-Crime Database: 76% Of Victims Over 10 Years Minorities; 90% Attacks Reported Since 2014 - FactChecker

254 religious identity-based hate crimes reported in India between January 1, 2009, and October 29, 2018, at least 91 persons were killed and 579 were injured, according to a new FactChecker.indatabase, released on October 30, 2018. About 90% (229) of these attacks were reported after May 2014, when the current Bharatiya Janata Party-led government assumed power nationally.

The Citizen’s Religious Hate-Crime Watch (Hate Crime Watch, in short) records that Muslims, who comprise 14% of India’s population, were the victims in 62% of cases (158 of 254) and Christians, 2% of the population, in 14% (35) of cases.

Hindus, constituting the majority or 80% of the population, were victims in 10% (25) of the cases.

Of the 172 cases in which the religion of the alleged perpetrator is known, 86% cases involved Hindus (148 cases), Hate Crime Watch shows. In 13% or 22 cases, the attackers were Muslim. In 82 cases, the religion of the attacker was not known.

The most fatalities were also recorded in UP (21), followed by Jharkhand (12) and Rajasthan (9).

Most non-fatal hate crimes were recorded in Bihar, UP and Madhya Pradesh, where at least 128, 104 and 70 persons had been reportedly injured, respectively.


The impact of far-right politics has also caused a revival of the insurgency in Kashmir, where civillian government was brought down and direct central president's rule imposed by the BJP last year.

64% rise in terror incidents in Kashmir during BJP-PDP rule, shows data

There was a 64% rise in terror incidents in Jammu and Kashmir over three years to 2017, providing some perspective to the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) decision to call off its three-year alliance with the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP).

Over 800 terror incidents have been reported in J&K over the three years ending 2017–up from 208 in 2015 to 342 in 2017–according to an IndiaSpend analysis of government data.

As many as 744 people died in these three years: 471 terrorists, 201 security forces and 72 civilians, the data show.

The increasing stridency in Hindutva politics has led to increasing recruitment in Islamic millitancy as the two trends of hate feed off each other.

Kashmir Conflict Tracker | ORF
In charts: Data shows the failure of Modi government’s Kashmir and Pakistan policies

The other way, BJP is seeking to win is through blitzing on every media (including social media) portal with paid news, articles and through twitter/facebook advertising. Incredibly, for a party that has claimed to be strong on corrupt busineeses (with no actual acheivements on that front so far), BJP has cornered 95% of funds given by the big donors among the 100 or so national parties!

In charts: Who funds India’s political parties?

The election watchdog also analysed donations above Rs 20,000 for national parties in its report. In this, the Bharatiya Janata Party garnered an incredible 93% share or Rs 437.04 crore in 2017-’18. The Congress came a distant second with Rs 26.66 crore or 5.67% of the total known donations to national parties.

https://factly.in/its-official-95-of-the-electoral-bonds-purchased-in-2017-18-went-to-the-bjp/

As per the 2017-18 annual audit report submitted by the BJP to the ECI, the party received ₹ 210 crore worth contribution in the form of electoral bonds. This is a whopping 95% of all the electoral bonds purchased in 2017-18. Since the design of the scheme does not allow for the disclosure of names of the contributors, it is impossible to find out who contributed these ₹ 210 crore to the BJP.



I will let these numbers speak for themselves regarding how the BJP has done....

Please hit reply button to see all the figures..or go to the links

Why has unemployment increased despite the GDP, FDI and ease of business increasing? More importantly HOW?

 

[ronki23]

Swachh Bharat is a big plus point for Modi. Deficits are decreasing thanks to GST. GDP, FDI and ease of business improving

 

[sayak83]

Why has unemployment increased despite the GDP, FDI and ease of business increasing? More importantly HOW?

Automation produces growth but not much employment.

 

[ronki23]

Automation produces growth but not much employment.

Have any industries been privatised?