Canadian federal election peanut gallery

[9-10ths_Penguin]

Only a few days until the federal election. Any thoughts, feelings, predictions?

As of right now, 338 Canada is predicting about a 2 in 3 chance of the Liberals winning, with a 16% chance of a Liberal majority government:

338Canada | Polls and electoral projections

The Election Prediction Project has the Liberals and Conservatives at pretty much a tie, but with 68 ridings "too close to call":

Canada 2021 - Election Prediction Project

What outcome do you see happening? What outcome do you want to see?

 

[PureX]

I predict that more than one Canadian will try to vote for Donald Trump.

 

[Vinayaka]

Only a few days until the federal election. Any thoughts, feelings, predictions?

As of right now, 338 Canada is predicting about a 2 in 3 chance of the Liberals winning, with a 16% chance of a Liberal majority government:

338Canada | Polls and electoral projections

The Election Prediction Project has the Liberals and Conservatives at pretty much a tie, but with 68 ridings "too close to call":

Canada 2021 - Election Prediction Project

What outcome do you see happening? What outcome do you want to see?

I see the Liberals with another minority, with any of the other 3 holding enough seats to make a bill pass if they support it. In other words, no change. The popular vote is skewed because of the ridiculously high support for the PCs in the west. Libs could come second in popular vote, and still win a minority handily. I'm just glad I live here and not in a two party state. It's less polarizing. Personally, in my riding we have a very poor MP, so my vote is more of an anti vote than anything. Votin' for the guy who hs the best chance of defeating the incumbent.

You?

 

[9-10ths_Penguin]

I see the Liberals with another minority, with any of the other 3 holding enough seats to make a bill pass if they support it. In other words, no change. The popular vote is skewed because of the ridiculously high support for the PCs in the west. Libs could come second in popular vote, and still win a minority handily. I'm just glad I live here and not in a two party state. It's less polarizing. Personally, in my riding we have a very poor MP, so my vote is more of an anti vote than anything. Votin' for the guy who hs the best chance of defeating the incumbent.

You?

My riding is solidly Conservative. No other candidate has a reasonable chance of defeating the incumbent, so I was free to vote for who I thought was best instead of worrying about voting strategically.

Edit: mainly, I hope that the NDP gains enough seats to have major influence with a Liberal minority government. That's the best scenario that I think has a realistic chance of happening, IMO.

 

[Subduction Zone]

I predict that more than one Canadian will try to vote for Donald Trump.

I am going to vote for Trump and I am not even Canadian After all why should we be the only ones that suffer?

 

[sun rise]

As a non-Canadian, I want to see the liberal party win because they are closest to the Democratic party here.

I'm not used to having a serious minority party and am not sure what the NDP stands for.

 

[Twilight Hue]

Only a few days until the federal election. Any thoughts, feelings, predictions?

As of right now, 338 Canada is predicting about a 2 in 3 chance of the Liberals winning, with a 16% chance of a Liberal majority government:

338Canada | Polls and electoral projections

The Election Prediction Project has the Liberals and Conservatives at pretty much a tie, but with 68 ridings "too close to call":

Canada 2021 - Election Prediction Project

What outcome do you see happening? What outcome do you want to see?

The chicken cannon ready to fire....

 

[9-10ths_Penguin]

And the big result...

Liberal minority government. Net increase of 1 seat for them. Yay?

Other interesting things:

Seems that the PPC (or "the crazy anti-vax fascist party" as I've heard them described) got enough votes to split the right wing vote in a few ridings. I find it worrying that they got enough support to have a small impact. I do like the new pun that's going around after Bernier came in last in his own riding, though: Maxime Dernier.

I was happy to see a Green get elected in Ontario, too.

Not much of a big story in the overall election outcome, except that the nation seems to have given Trudeau a lukewarm confirmation that he's on the right track.

I'll be interested to see whether O'Toole, Paul & Bernier keep their positions as party leaders.