• Welcome to Religious Forums, a friendly forum to discuss all religions in a friendly surrounding.

    Your voice is missing! You will need to register to get access to the following site features:
    • Reply to discussions and create your own threads.
    • Our modern chat room. No add-ons or extensions required, just login and start chatting!
    • Access to private conversations with other members.

    We hope to see you as a part of our community soon!

Sports and Transgender Opinion

Should males that self-identify as females be allowed to compete in women sportss.


  • Total voters
    32
  • Poll closed .

ImmortalFlame

Woke gremlin
I do understand, as well as truly care about transgender people and don’t like to see anyone going through powerful hormone drug treatments or surgeries that can be damaging for years to come.
But you are presumably happy for them to remain suicidal and miserable.

Reality is that a person’s DNA,
biological sex and anatomy are intended to denote gender identity.
That is not "reality". It is an opinion.

Gender is a social construct which is independent of (though often connected to) biological sex.

I understand that transgender people
feel like they are trapped inside a body that is the opposite of their perceived gender and this leads to a tremendous amount of psychological and emotional distress. Instead of working to change their perceived gender identity to match their biology, they try changing their biology to match their gender identity. Many attempt or are encouraged to attempt to change their bodies with hormone treatment and/or surgery. This approach is invalid because while it’s not possible to mistake your biological sex, it is possible to mistake your perceived gender.
It does not change the person’s innate chemistry or address the causes of real emotional distress, pain or confusion.
It isn't intended to change their "innate chemistry". It's intended so that the individual is able to express their correct gender identity, and have others perceive and understand it too.

Therefore, psychological problems are left untreated. People think sex reassignment surgery will solve their psychological problems, but they persist. People cannot find true peace living in a delusion. Only truth brings freedom.
Transgenderism is not a psychological illness. The truth is that trans men are men, and trans women are women, and denying this truth is what has lead to untold misery. Your solution simply does not work, and only creates more suicide and more depression as trans people aren't being provided with the acknowlegement of who they actually are.

This is what I find so sad. People are being sold a lie and too often a lie that brings very real permanent physical damage to a person’s health, as well as psychological and emotional damage.
The only lies that are being told are by people like you. I've already exposed the lies inherent in your argument, that you fail to acknowledge the harm that your attitude does while playing up the "harm to bodies" nonsense. Every post-op trans person I know has never been happier.

Below is a linked study in Sweden, a very transgender friendly, supportive country, yet a large percentage of those who had sex- reassignment surgery or therapy still were unhappy and suicidal.

Long-Term Follow-Up of Transsexual Persons Undergoing Sex Reassignment Surgery: Cohort Study in Sweden
Because even after treatment, trans people are still subject to abuse and intolerance.

This study doesn't compare pre-op and post-op trans people. It's comparing post-op trans people and general members of the public. The result is that post-op trans people are still more likely to experience suicidal depression, which isn't tremendously surprising considering the massive social stigma, bias and intolerance still directed towards them on a global scale. It isn't saying "post op trans people are MORE miserable". Hell, it's not even saying "post op trans people are still miserable so they shouldn't have transitioned". It is saying "in spite of the surgery, trans people still experience higher rates of suicidal depression than non trans people, so we shouldn't consider surgery to be the immediate solution and should work harder to provide psychological care".

For reference, here is a study that actually DOES compare the happiness and mental healtb of pre and post op trans people and finds that post op trans people score significantly higher:
Happiness and Mental Health in Pre-Operative and Post-Operative Transsexual People
 

ImmortalFlame

Woke gremlin
All the studies that do exist strongly suggest a retained advantage that makes the testosterone suppression policy ineffective at achieving its objective of fairness.

A dozen such studies have found that strength, muscle mass, and muscle volume decrease by between 5% and 10% when testosterone is lowered. Given that the original male vs female difference is between 30% and 50%, the implication is that a significant part of the original advantage remains when trans women are compared to a matched group of biological females.

There is one study suggesting that male endurance advantages in distance runners are removed entirely, which might allow some sports to balance inclusion and fairness, but for sports where mass, size, strength, power and speed matter, the evidence all points one way, in the direction of retained advantage and the necessity of a prioritisation of those imperatives.

DM168 Sport: Gender games: The complex issue of sport categories and why they matter
Could you provide the studies this article cites?

Also, in many countries people can't take testosterone suppression therapies until over the age of 18, should they be allowed to compete?
Of course. But, as I made clear my first post, sports have always been divided up into different groups and classes, and biological advantages are taken into account when determining which ones individuals fall into. For example, there are trans women who still compete in male weight lifting compteitions rather than womens because they don't meet the requirements to qualify. I am not against this, and nor are the vast majority of trans people. What I am against is the narrative that implies allowing trans people to compete in the sport of their gender will significantly disadvantage others, or will "destroy" womens sports. The implication being that trans female athletes are really just "men pretending to be women so that they can beat them at sports". This is the implication of the arguments you are making, whether you intend for it to be or not.

If you are going to claim that you are being 'rational' and 'evidence-based' on this, where are these 'systematic reviews' you claim?
Sport and Transgender People: A Systematic Review of the Literature Relating to Sport Participation and Competitive Sport Policies

If you want to look at facts, do we have examples of sudden, miraculous improvement post-transition? Yes.

Rachel McKinnon becomes first transgender woman to win track world title - Cycling Weekly

Laurel Hubbard - Wikipedia

Neither of these women had any track record of competition at an elite men's level pre-transition (although Laurel Hubbard was a successful junior athlete).
Pointing to outliers is not indicative of overall trends. Outliers exist in sport. It happens all the time.

There is basically zero chance that Rachel McKinnon could have won a world championship pre-transition. Not only did she do this post-transition, she did it after moving from road to track cycling (like moving from being a non-elite 1500m runner to a world champion 100m sprinter).
I'm not interested in your opinion, or in individual cases. I am interested in overall trends. One or two tran people performing well - even much better - in their particular sport is not indicative of a broader problem, and in way indicates any such trend.

Absent any evidence to the contrary, the assumption has to be that she retained an advantage from her pre-transition physiology (or that she was doping and also retained an advantage).
This is not a reasonable argument. "I assume x, and will continue to assume x until evidence against x is presented" is not logic. You need to actually demonstrate that these individuals outcomes are a direct consequence of an unfair advantage over their fellow competitors. It is not enough to merely go "they weren't doing great and now they are doing better".

No, we should aim top prevent as many potentially life threatening mismatches as possible, that is why boxing uses weight categories.

Given transwomen retain numerous benefits from undergoing male puberty (see above), this is dangerous.
Facts, please. And, again, why is the danger of the sport relevant? You wouldn't bring up the danger of, say, a 150 pound MMA fighter going up against a 160 pound MMA fighter if both fighters were cis women. Why does it suddenly matter to you only when one of them used to have a penis?

Never mind that many contact sports do not have weight categories further exposing people to serious injury.

Also, we know for a fact that a large number of elite athletes abuse PEDs and that this is almost impossible to prevent. The most common PED among women is testosterone, and a transwoman taking this is going to show a much greater response.
Evidence, please.

What level of increased risk of death or serious injury do you think is acceptable?
You have yet to provide a single piece of evidence that suggests allowing trans women to compete with cis women increases any risk of any deaths or serious injury.

Given widespread discrimination and even the threat of being killed in many cultures, you can't possibly work out why people may not want to come out as trans or how this fact may impact the 'underrepresented' claim?
You realize that these things have no impact on athletic performance, right? Trans people are underrepresented as in they do not, on average, perform as well as cis people do at the highest levels of the sport. Again, if your claims were true, we should be seeing what few trans athletes compete doing exceptionally well - if not necessarrily consistently the best - on average in their chosen sport. But in over 15 years of trans athletes being allowed to compete at the absolute highest levels of sport, this is not what we have seen.

So, tell me, if trans athletes consistently retain a biological advantage over cis gendered counterparts, why do trans Olympians perform consistently worse than their cis gendered counterparts?
 
Last edited:

Left Coast

This Is Water
Staff member
Premium Member
Gender confusion is a trend that gives kids with anxiety about being themselves the option to be someone else that they invent.

Have you ever actually talked to any trans or non-binary people about their gender?

You might want to try that before spouting nonsense armchair psychology like this.
 

metis

aged ecumenical anthropologist
Hey, all we are talking about here is certain body parts, and it begs the question why so many Americans just get so hung up on them. :rolleyes:
 

metis

aged ecumenical anthropologist
Hey, all we are talking about here is certain body parts, and it begs the question why so many Americans just get so hung up on them. :rolleyes:

I've been in unisex bathrooms before and it's no big deal.
 

lostwanderingsoul

Well-Known Member
So you want to impose your personal values on public institutions like schools.

Why do you think your opinions should prevail over others?

Also, why are you so focused on the genitals of school children?
Because I believe in God and I believe God gave people different genitals for a reason and school age children do not need to be in dressing rooms and showers and toilets with people with different genitals.
 
Could you provide the studies this article cites?

Transgender Women in the Female Category of Sport: Perspectives on Testosterone Suppression and Performance Advantage

Longitudinal studies examining the effects of testosterone suppression on muscle mass and strength in transgender women consistently show very modest changes, where the loss of lean body mass, muscle area and strength typically amounts to approximately 5% after 12 months of treatment. Thus, the muscular advantage enjoyed by transgender women is only minimally reduced when testosterone is suppressed. Sports organizations should consider this evidence when reassessing current policies regarding participation of transgender women in the female category of sport.

Transgender Women in the Female Category of Sport: Perspectives on Testosterone Suppression and Performance Advantage

Further studies cited in text you can follow up via the references at the end.

Still insist there is no benefit and transwomen are actually disadvantaged?

Of course. But, as I made clear my first post, sports have always been divided up into different groups and classes, and biological advantages are taken into account when determining which ones individuals fall into.

If you would like to see what a sports scientist and injury consultant to the governing body, World rugby says on the safety of this:

The premise of the model is evidence-based: Injury & performance are the DIRECT result of variables A, B & C. Thus, if you take A, B & C, and find:
a) They’re significantly higher in M than F;
b) Reducing T does not reduce A, B and C to female levels;
what can you conclude?

The ONLY conclusion you can draw is that injury risk & performance will remain significantly elevated. To argue anything other than this means you have to redefine injury and negate variables that are KNOWN to significantly elevate performance. It’s impossible.


'That's ideology, not science' - Renowned sports scientist steps in on transwomen in rugby debate

What I am against is the narrative that implies allowing trans people to compete in the sport of their gender will significantly disadvantage others, or will "destroy" womens sports. The implication being that trans female athletes are really just "men pretending to be women so that they can beat them at sports". This is the implication of the arguments you are making, whether you intend for it to be or not.

No it is not the implication (see above), don't be daft.

The mind-reading self-righteous bigoteer, always a pleasure to engage with :rolleyes:


That says basically nothing of value. It is relatively old and notes one small study which is inconclusive but shows transwomen retain greater muscle mass.

Gooren and Bunck concluded that transgender male individuals are likely to be able to compete without an athletic advantage 1-year post-cross-sex hormone treatment. To a certain extent this also applies to transgender female individuals; however, there still remains a level of uncertainty owing to a large muscle mass 1-year post-cross-sex hormones.

If scientific studies showed transwomen retain a significant advantage (as they do), would that make any difference to your argument?

Pointing to outliers is not indicative of overall trends. Outliers exist in sport. It happens all the time.

What you mean is you don't understand evidence in this case. You are trying to use similar reasoning by saying 'but transwomen don't dominate the Olympics', but you misunderstand what is shown by this.

Outliers are people who show natural gifts athletically which tend to show themselves throughout someone's lifetime.

Magical transformations in mid-late career are not 'outliers' but almost always evidence of artificial advantage (usually PED use).

If someone transitions and then suddenly becomes a world-class athlete, this is very strong evidence they benefited from the transition, the same as Lance Armstrong's magical performance leap was obviously the result of PED use (in real time, not with the benefit of hindsight)

This is not a reasonable argument. "I assume x, and will continue to assume x until evidence against x is presented" is not logic. You need to actually demonstrate that these individuals outcomes are a direct consequence of an unfair advantage over their fellow competitors. It is not enough to merely go "they weren't doing great and now they are doing better".

Again you fail to understand.

It's the same logic as why 'rational' people were telling everyone not to wear masks a year ago: "there is no evidence masks work!" simply because people don't understand evidence or probability.

When you have a situation that is hard to replicate in real life, look at the existing evidence rather than assuming we know nothing until the perfect study exists (reminder, existing studies also tend to show performance advantages)

High level athletes are not normal, studying the average person doesn't work as people don't respond in the same way to treatments and the average person doesn't push the limits of human performance.

Here is a study showing EPO doesn't work, which you would have to be astoundingly dumb to believe on balance of evidence (i.e. the obvious athletic performance jump in the EPO era which declined on EPO testing being introduced, along with the fact that athletes measuring every ounce of performance were certain it was impossible to win without EPO). None of this was in a scientific journal, but as evidence it's a hell of a lot more reliable than a 'scientific' study showing EPO doesn't work.

Lance Armstrong's drug of choice, EPO, 'doesn't work', scientists claim

In the first study of its kind, scientists challenged a group of 48 cyclists to tackle a series of challenges, including the infamous Mont Ventoux ascent, which often forms part of the Tour.

Half had been given eight weekly injections of EPO, a drug that promotes red blood cell production with the aim of increasing delivery of oxygen to the muscles, while the other half took a dummy.

But after the gruelling 21.5km climb - which was preceded by a 110km cycle for good measure - the average results of the two groups showed no difference whatsoever.

The scientists behind the trial, which is published in the Lancet, say athletes are “naive” about the benefits of illicit substances such as EPO, but that myths about their effectiveness go unchallenged in the murky world of doping.


Lance Armstrong's drug of choice, EPO, 'doesn't work', scientists claim

Study:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanhae/article/PIIS2352-3026(17)30105-9/fulltext


People made similar arguments for 10 years about Lance Armstrong 'where is the evidence he is doping?' (the fact that he had a magical transformation, mid-career post-cancer and dominated a notoriously dirty sport which made it basically impossible for him to be clean).

Useful idiots championed his cause for a decade before the obvious was proven.

I've already shown evidence of is non-elite male athletes becoming elite female athletes post transition. You chose to ignore it.

Feel free to provide a reasoned explanation for this phenomenon that takes into account magical performance increases late career.

Facts, please. And, again, why is the danger of the sport relevant? You wouldn't bring up the danger of, say, a 150 pound MMA fighter going up against a 160 pound MMA fighter if both fighters were trans women. Why does it suddenly matter to you only when one of them used to have a penis?

Mind-reading bigoteering again, both times completely wrongly. Strange how people can't discuss this issue rationally...

Why is the danger of the sport (including for youth sport) relevant?

I think you are smart and compassionate enough to work that one out for yourself.

So, tell me, if trans athletes consistently retain a biological advantage over cis gendered counterparts, why do trans Olympians perform consistently worse than their cis gendered counterparts?

Because they were much worse athletes to start with obviously :rolleyes:

The number of people who transition is so small, how many of them were world class boys/male athletes prior to transition and competing as a female.

According to your logic, you would have to be a top 5 male athlete to be a top 10 female athlete post transition. Where is your evidence that these demonstrably elite athletes became worse after transitioning, rather than non-elite athletes became better?

The balance of scientific evidence shows performance advantage. The real-world performance evidence shows performance advantage.

If you prefer ideology to evidence, that's your choice.
 

sun rise

The world is on fire
Premium Member
By the way, I did not see any reference to intersex people in this thread. Intersex - Wikipedia

This is an area where binary, either/or, thinking is a mistake.

Down one path is obsessively considering hormone and biological development and choosing who can compete in a sport based on that history which gets into ever more tiny distinctions.

On the other path is not trying to micromanage the ability to compete based on that history.
 
By the way, I did not see any reference to intersex people in this thread. Intersex - Wikipedia

This is an area where binary, either/or, thinking is a mistake.

Down one path is obsessively considering hormone and biological development and choosing who can compete in a sport based on that history which gets into ever more tiny distinctions.

On the other path is not trying to micromanage the ability to compete based on that history.

Intersex women are clearly overrepresented in elite women's sport, but intersex and transgender in sport are really 2 very different questions.

For example, demanding an intersex woman take anti-androgen drugs to compete (potentially with resultant health complications and no medical rationale) is a very different ethical question than a transwoman taking anti-androgens as part of a voluntary, and ethically medically supervised, gender transition.
 

ImmortalFlame

Woke gremlin
Transgender Women in the Female Category of Sport: Perspectives on Testosterone Suppression and Performance Advantage

Longitudinal studies examining the effects of testosterone suppression on muscle mass and strength in transgender women consistently show very modest changes, where the loss of lean body mass, muscle area and strength typically amounts to approximately 5% after 12 months of treatment. Thus, the muscular advantage enjoyed by transgender women is only minimally reduced when testosterone is suppressed. Sports organizations should consider this evidence when reassessing current policies regarding participation of transgender women in the female category of sport.

Transgender Women in the Female Category of Sport: Perspectives on Testosterone Suppression and Performance Advantage

Further studies cited in text you can follow up via the references at the end.

Still insist there is no benefit and transwomen are actually disadvantaged?
Do you have any studies about how trans people actually perform in sport? See, it's one thing to claim "muscle mass is retained in the bodies of non-athletes" and establishing a sustained and significant different in the performance of trans and non-trans athletes. If you choose to believe that athletic ability is purely down to physiological factors, be my guest, but the evidence actually suggests the outcomes are more complicated than "person who has bigger muscles wins". This is why almost all actual studies into the outcome of trans people in sports come to the same conclusion:

"There is no research that has directly and consistently found transgender people to have an athletic advantage in sport, so it is difficult to understand why so many current policies continue to discriminate. Inclusive transgender sporting policies need to be developed and implemented that allow transgender people to compete in accordance with their gender identity, regardless of hormone levels."
Transgender people in sport | Research | Loughborough University

"Currently, there is no direct or consistent research suggesting transgender female individuals (or male individuals) have an athletic advantage at any stage of their transition (e.g. cross-sex hormones, gender-confirming surgery) and, therefore, competitive sport policies that place restrictions on transgender people need to be considered and potentially revised."
Sport and Transgender People: A Systematic Review of the Literature Relating to Sport Participation and Competitive Sport Policies

See, it turns out that reducing sports to mere biological functions is reductive and not reflective of reality. There is a multitude of other factors that may influence sport performance. For example, you don't consider the effect of losing muscle mass while largely retaining skeletal mass, which results in lower physical ability. Instead, you erroneously assert that retaining either one - independent of the other - confers an advantage. This is one of the problems with your extremely reductive approach.

If you would like to see what a sports scientist and injury consultant to the governing body, World rugby says on the safety of this:

The premise of the model is evidence-based: Injury & performance are the DIRECT result of variables A, B & C. Thus, if you take A, B & C, and find:
a) They’re significantly higher in M than F;
b) Reducing T does not reduce A, B and C to female levels;
what can you conclude?

The ONLY conclusion you can draw is that injury risk & performance will remain significantly elevated. To argue anything other than this means you have to redefine injury and negate variables that are KNOWN to significantly elevate performance. It’s impossible.


'That's ideology, not science' - Renowned sports scientist steps in on transwomen in rugby debate
Again, I am not against establishing more classes to ensure safety and fairness in specific sports. My problem is with your approach and narrative that being trans always confers athletic advantages, when the science is more complicated than that.

No it is not the implication (see above), don't be daft.

The mind-reading self-righteous bigoteer, always a pleasure to engage with :rolleyes:
I never called you a bigot, and I even explicitly made that clear. But your attitude and the logic you are using DOES lead to that inevitable conclusion. That IS the implication of the arguments you have been making.

That says basically nothing of value. It is relatively old and notes one small study which is inconclusive but shows transwomen retain greater muscle mass.

Gooren and Bunck concluded that transgender male individuals are likely to be able to compete without an athletic advantage 1-year post-cross-sex hormone treatment. To a certain extent this also applies to transgender female individuals; however, there still remains a level of uncertainty owing to a large muscle mass 1-year post-cross-sex hormones.

If scientific studies showed transwomen retain a significant advantage (as they do), would that make any difference to your argument?
The study is only a few years old and unambiguously states that there is no consistent evidence that trans athletes retain a significant advantage.

What you mean is you don't understand evidence in this case. You are trying to use similar reasoning by saying 'but transwomen don't dominate the Olympics', but you misunderstand what is shown by this.

Outliers are people who show natural gifts athletically which tend to show themselves throughout someone's lifetime.

Magical transformations in mid-late career are not 'outliers' but almost always evidence of artificial advantage (usually PED use).
There is nothing "magical" about it. Stop using leaps in logic to justify your argument. Please use facts, not personal opinion.

If someone transitions and then suddenly becomes a world-class athlete, this is very strong evidence they benefited from the transition, the same as Lance Armstrong's magical performance leap was obviously the result of PED use (in real time, not with the benefit of hindsight)
I love the "not with the benefit of hindsight" addition, there. As if you would make this argument had it never been discovered that Armstrong was doping. To say it is "obviously the result of x" is simply basis. You don't have enough information to conclude exactly what did or didnt contribute to their success. You are taking two facts and erroneously asserting one caused the others. This is not logic. You need to do more to actually demonstrate WHAT advantage they have and why they have it.

Again you fail to understand.

It's the same logic as why 'rational' people were telling everyone not to wear masks a year ago: "there is no evidence masks work!" simply because people don't understand evidence or probability.
Comparing me to anti-maskers is absurdly ignorant. Take that back.

When you have a situation that is hard to replicate in real life, look at the existing evidence rather than assuming we know nothing until the perfect study exists (reminder, existing studies also tend to show performance advantages)
Except you have yet to cite a single study that shows that trans athletes have a significant advantage in sports.

High level athletes are not normal, studying the average person doesn't work as people don't respond in the same way to treatments and the average person doesn't push the limits of human performance.
This is all irrelevant.

People made similar arguments for 10 years about Lance Armstrong 'where is the evidence he is doping?' (the fact that he had a magical transformation, mid-career post-cancer and dominated a notoriously dirty sport which made it basically impossible for him to be clean).

Useful idiots championed his cause for a decade before the obvious was proven.
"This something people didn't believe until the evidence came out, but when they did it showed that they should have believed it all along, therefore you should accept my argument because it is also not supported by evidence but I believe it will eventually".

This is not a reasonable argument.

I've already shown evidence of is non-elite male athletes becoming elite female athletes post transition. You chose to ignore it.
No, what you did that present instances of trans athletes performing well. There is a world of different between "these people do well" and "these people are part of a group who all have a significant biological advantage."

Feel free to provide a reasoned explanation for this phenomenon that takes into account magical performance increases late career.
I don't have to. The work is yours, since you are the one making the claim that their superior performance is largely (if not entirely) due to their being trans. I make no claim on the matter because I don't know enough about these individuals.

Mind-reading bigoteering again, both times completely wrongly. Strange how people can't discuss this issue rationally...
Yes, it is funny how you avoid answering a pretty straight-forward question and instead resort to emotive rhetoric and baseless accusations.

Why is the danger of the sport (including for youth sport) relevant?

I think you are smart and compassionate enough to work that one out for yourself.
And now you're just being obtuse.

Because they were much worse athletes to start with obviously :rolleyes:
How convenient.

The number of people who transition is so small, how many of them were world class boys/male athletes prior to transition and competing as a female.

According to your logic, you would have to be a top 5 male athlete to be a top 10 female athlete post transition. Where is your evidence that these demonstrably elite athletes became worse after transitioning, rather than non-elite athletes became better?
The lack of evidence of any signifcant athletic advantage among trans athletes.

The balance of scientific evidence shows performance advantage. The real-world performance evidence shows performance advantage.
You have yet to sufficiently support either claim.

If you prefer ideology to evidence, that's your choice.
If you prefer rhetoric to facts, don't debate people.
 

esmith

Veteran Member
Hey, all we are talking about here is certain body parts, and it begs the question why so many Americans just get so hung up on them. :rolleyes:

I've been in unisex bathrooms before and it's no big deal.
In Japan the 60's and 70's, if your have a problem with someone other than your sex using the Benjo you have a problem
 
Except you have yet to cite a single study that shows that trans athletes have a significant advantage in sports.

Well other than the attached article with a section titled "Is the Male Performance Advantage Lost when Testosterone is Suppressed in Transgender Women?" that cites multiple other articles ;)

Including Gooren and Bunck [62], 12 longitudinal studies [53, 63,64,65,66,67,68,69,70,71,72,73] have examined the effects of testosterone suppression on lean body mass or muscle size in transgender women. The collective evidence from these studies suggests that 12 months, which is the most commonly examined intervention period, of testosterone suppression to female-typical reference levels results in a modest (approximately − 5%) loss of lean body mass or muscle size (Table 4). No study has reported muscle loss exceeding the − 12% found by Gooren and Bunck after 3 years of therapy. Notably, studies have found very consistent changes in lean body mass (using dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry) after 12 months of treatment, where the change has always been between − 3 and − 5% on average, with slightly greater reductions in the arm compared with the leg region [68]. Thus, given the large baseline differences in muscle mass between males and females (Table 1; approximately 40%), the reduction achieved by 12 months of testosterone suppression can reasonably be assessed as small relative to the initial superior mass. We, therefore, conclude that the muscle mass advantage males possess over females, and the performance implications thereof, are not removed by the currently studied durations (4 months, 1, 2 and 3 years) of testosterone suppression in transgender women. In sports where muscle mass is important for performance, inclusion is therefore only possible if a large imbalance in fairness, and potentially safety in some sports, is to be tolerated.

There are numerous other points clearly noted regarding relative athletic advantage if you could actually be bothered to read it.

The study is only a few years old and unambiguously states that there is no consistent evidence that trans athletes retain a significant advantage.

Size, bulk, muscle mass, etc. are obviously a significant advantage in many sports and are unquestionably retained

Yes, it is funny how you avoid answering a pretty straight-forward question and instead resort to emotive rhetoric and baseless accusations.

You stated I only cared about safety in sports due to bigotry against transwomen.

It was an uninformed and ignorant pejorative statement based on your belief you can read minds, not a 'straight-forward question'.

Why does it suddenly matter to you only when one of them used to have a penis?

Answer: it doesn't matter 'only when one of them used to have a penis'. Hence me noting your repeated bigoteering along with your ignorant 'men pretending to be women so they can beat them at sports' comment.


See, it turns out that reducing sports to mere biological functions is reductive and not reflective of reality. There is a multitude of other factors that may influence sport performance. For example, you don't consider the effect of losing muscle mass while largely retaining skeletal mass, which results in lower physical ability. Instead, you erroneously assert that retaining either one - independent of the other - confers an advantage. This is one of the problems with your extremely reductive approach.

You seem to be confusing the idea that "size, bulk, muscle mass, VO2 max, etc" are not the only requirement to be good at sport, with "size, bulk, muscle mass, VO2 max, etc." do not constitute athletic advantage in any sports.

It's like saying just because being tall doesn't make you good at basketball, that being tall isn't an advantage when playing basketball.

Comparing me to anti-maskers is absurdly ignorant. Take that back.

Back then they weren't 'anti-maskers' they were 'evidence based rationalists'.

It's exactly the same logic that was 'rational' a year ago: 'no evidence masks work' simply because they thought in the absence of definitive proof from a narrow scientific study of 'just the right kind', we should ignore overwhelming balance of probabilities based on available evidence.

I love the "not with the benefit of hindsight" addition, there. As if you would make this argument had it never been discovered that Armstrong was doping. To say it is "obviously the result of x" is simply basis. You don't have enough information to conclude exactly what did or didnt contribute to their success. You are taking two facts and erroneously asserting one caused the others. This is not logic. You need to do more to actually demonstrate WHAT advantage they have and why they have it.

This is why I think you don't understand certain types evidence.

"Who could have known Armstrong was doping? There wasn't any evidence!"

Evidence that was available to any semi-curious person long before the truth came out:

1. Cycling was rife with doping
2. The PEDs being used were highly effective (EPO, testosterone, steroids, etc.) and conferred an advantage far more than the natural variation between top cyclists
3. Lance Armstrong underwent a quite ludicrous transformation mid-career post cancer (think about a 400m runner rocking up at the Olympics and winning the 400m then the 10k while also knowing the other 10k medalists were doped to the eyeballs and thinking it was 'natural')
4. His quite ludicrous transformation happened while working with a notorious doping doctor, Michele Ferrari.
5.. He publicly bullied a cyclist, Filippo Simeoni ,who had testified in court against this doctor re PEDs, and told him to shut his mouth.

6. All of his key rivals were known to have doped (Riis, Ulrich, Landis, etc.)
7. His VO2 max was not off the charts meaning he was no genetic freak in cycling terms



Possibility 1: LA suddenly in mid-career after cancer became the most dominant grand tour cyclist in history despite not having the track record or physiological profile associated with such ability, and at exactly the same time he started working with a notorious doping doctor in a notoriously dirty sport. He did this while destroying a load of people gaining 10% performance advantage from PEDs meaning, if clean, he would have needed a level of natural dominance quite ludicrously implausible given what we know about elite sports

Possibility 2: He was doping


I'd say thinking 1 was no more plausible than 2 as 'there was no proof!' is very naive.

You seem to strongly disagree and view it as a ludicrous perspective to hold, basically, "I believe in miracles until proven false"


"This something people didn't believe until the evidence came out, but when they did it showed that they should have believed it all along, therefore you should accept my argument because it is also not supported by evidence but I believe it will eventually".

This is not a reasonable argument.

Again the evidence existed, just you didn't understand it.

If you think it reasonable to have concluded LA was winning clean, I have some magic beans I could sell you.

I don't have to. The work is yours, since you are the one making the claim that their superior performance is largely (if not entirely) due to their being trans. I make no claim on the matter because I don't know enough about these individuals.

Why is LA relevant? Miracle transformations are about as common as any other form of miracle. There is ample evidence of this.

Multiple people, mid-career, with no evidence of being close to elite level male athletes transition and *all of a sudden* win elite level global competition as women precisely in sports where muscle mass and undergoing male puberty are known to bring major benefits.

These benefits are documented in scientific literature that you can read for yourself and are not reversed by androgen suppression, which is well documented in scientific literature that you can read for yourself

Which of these do you judge as having greater probability:

1. They retained an advantage post-transition in a manner supported by the scientific literature and this explains the massive leap in relative performance post transition.

2. They transitioned and then happily discovered they had always been elite level athletes and it's just they never realised it or demonstrated it in any way.


How convenient.

If by convenient you mean statistically probable and supported by scientific evidence, then yes it is 'convenient' that reality matches theoretical expectation
 
Top