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The next 4 years?
- Thread starter Riders
- Start date
Riders
Well-Known Member
But will people vote ffor someone at that age?
I have no idea how these candidates gain momentum. I suppose much of it depends on how well the campaign manager understands group psychology.
I would never have predicted Trump being the Republican candidate or Biden being the Democratic.
Back at the beginning, I assumed that Kamala Harris would make a strong run but she didn't do well.
Age doesn't seem to be as much of a factor as I thought.
Twilight Hue
Twilight, not bright nor dark, good nor bad.
Yea i agree with that. I hope though that Trump will still contribute in helping make American lives better.
Maybe. But Trumps power is not derived from any sway -- real or imagined -- he holds over other politicians. So the Party isn't going to have much impact on him. Instead, his power is the average joe and jane nutcase who supports him. They number in the millions and tens of millions, so it's he who impacts the Party, not the Party who impacts him.
I should have clarified what I meant by 'political donations'. Perhaps I chose the wrong term. I was referring to the 20 or so million die-hard Trump supporters who are subscribed to his messages at $4.99 per month. That adds up to about 1.2 billion per year and most of Trumps other assets are currently non-performing. Hence, the 1.2 billion is now his main source of income. I seriously doubt he'll risk losing it by quietly retiring from the limelight and then failing to run again in 2024.
So far as I can see the only thing with a chance of knocking him out of the ring would be massive and successful prosecutions and civil suits. He'll see 'a few' of those, will he see enough to KO him?
Sadly, likely accurate. Even more sadly, Trump does not have the same affection for the denizens of all those trailer parks that they have for him. And sadly to the point of tragedy -- they don't even know it.
So he is what he's always been -- a grifter with a nose for how to get the pennies out of the hands of folk at the carnival, and into his own pocket. Does it matter, really, whether he's selling a "miracle elixir" or whatever other lie he can fob off on the ignorant?
No, I suspect not.
Sadly for America.
Heyo
Veteran Member
I should be more careful with my prediction, especially because I already underestimated US citizens stupidity once this year, but I predict Trumpists regaining their consciousness after a cooling off period. Trump will not have a base in 2024. He may be running if he's out of prison then but without a chance.
Sad for us, sad for the world. As one of your countrymen and a friend of mine told me at uni decades ago, "America is an elephant. Canada is a mouse. When you are a mouse next to an elephant, if the elephant sneezes, you catch cold." Only, it's not just Canada. In 2016, someone on this Forum objected to a remark I'd made by 'informing' me the German economy had nothing to do with the American economy. Within a year or two I was reading the Germans found themselves between a rock and a hard place due to something Trump was doing. I forget the details now, but you get the point. Just about any other president would have at lest considered the effects his policies would have on our allies.
(speaking of contemptible)
averageJOE
zombie
In 2024 someone far worse and dangerous than Trump will run. This person will be extremely popular and, unlike Trump, articulate. This person will run against Harris (because everyone knows Biden won't last 4 years) and will probably win. I predict this person will be Tucker Carlson.
And in 2028, because politics will have shifted so far right, along with the Democrats, someone like Donald Trump Jr. will run against Carlson as a Democrat. And blue no matter who voters will be saying "Now is not the time to vote 3rd party!!! Too much is at stake!!! We must vote for Trump Jr. and then we can work to push him left!" And Donald Trump will be dancing on shows like Ellen while "left wing" media paints his presidency as "not that bad".
And in 2028, because politics will have shifted so far right, along with the Democrats, someone like Donald Trump Jr. will run against Carlson as a Democrat. And blue no matter who voters will be saying "Now is not the time to vote 3rd party!!! Too much is at stake!!! We must vote for Trump Jr. and then we can work to push him left!" And Donald Trump will be dancing on shows like Ellen while "left wing" media paints his presidency as "not that bad".
Well obviously. But that is only because by 2028 most of the Democrat States will be under water.
metis
aged ecumenical anthropologist
Trump could face some serious legal issues even with a pardon, and Pence simply doesn't have Trump's "charisma".
I'm far from certain that Biden will be up to running in 2024, plus VP's running often have a lot of "baggage", whereas they tend not to benefit from any success but do get some of the blame for failures.
Of course, there have been some exceptions.