Ozzie said:
Lets assume (and all the signs are pointing this way) that the US and its "allies" were wrong to invade Iraq. What price should the US pay for this mistake? Is it paying a greater price for continuing with a faulty experiment in US imperialism as per the Bush doctrine than quitting now?
I do not think from the perspective of US, invading Iraq is a mistake. The mistake is the failure of having a proper plan to secure the situation after completing the invasion.
Invasion of Iraq is a must. Iraq is on the verge of surviving the sanction imposed by the US led UN during that time, and other UN members were in the process of ignoring the sanction, and ready to do business with Sadam, for the oil etc, notably the Chinese, the French, the German and the Russian. Feeling threatened by the new development, US (and UK) has no choice but to go and invade Iraq to prevent the Iraq from being out of US influence and cooperated with the European Union led by German and France, and Russia, and especially in the long term influence of China in the middle east. So there is no mistake in invading Iraq from the strategy point of view, from American interest point of view.
So what is the price of this invasion? If the plan went well, US would have the Sadam (previously an ally of US, and listened and followed US directive all the time, until later near to Kuwait war) removed, and installed a new regime for Iraq, which will be hopefully appeared to be a democratically elected government by the Iraqi people, but actually those elected leaders will be mostly 'controlled' by US, and continued to do oil trading with US in the same way like old Sadam's day, and will keep the French, the German, the Russian and the Chinese out of oil from Iraq. That will be the ideal situation. However, the plan did not go as anticipated. The US managed to direct a play of election and formation of Iraqi new government with new constitution etc. However, although this new government is a good boy, listening all the while to the US, they threw tandom once in a while. The Shiite, the Sunni and the Kurds all are trying to make full use of the situation to strengthen their position in the Iraqi politics. They refused to actively participate in the fight against the insurgents. Instead, they are each trying to make use of different fractions of the insurgents to fight and weaken the other sides, hence leading to what is near to a civil war situation. The US have no solution. She does not want to support another dictator like Hussein from the Sunni Camp, she does not trust the Kurds, and anyway, the Kurds will not be able to control the whole of Iraq, and she is very suspicious of the Shiite, being very friendly with the Iran. So US has been playing the card of divide and rule, and hopefully a government will be inplace to represent the three fractions and with the removal of the 'insurgents' from Iraq. That is easier said then done. That is the dilemma the US is facing in Iraq. If US can maintain the situation of minimum disruption, with a sacrifice of less than a thousand US soldiers each year, with the insurgents more or less contained and without flaring up, that is what the US claimed as to have won the Iraq war. However, this was not the case, and that is what the ISG report conclusion: that US is not winning the war, meaning the situation is getting not better, and is progressing towards the bad side.
If US cannot contained the situation anymore, she will then have to seek the cooperation of Syria and Iran, and quietly the support from the French, the German, the Russian and the Chinese by agreeing to share a bit of the Iraq oil with them. This is why it is so difficult to convince G Bush to do, because oil money is too intimately intertwined with Bush Oil interest.
Basically, the death of a thousand soldiers each year, is a price worth paying as far as American interest go. The financial gain from the ability to control the Iraqi oil and prevent other nations from sharing is of paramount importance to US imperial stand.