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Who Created ISIS?

@faroukfarouk

Anyway,we know you blindly believe anything on the internet which is anti-US, but can you explain why America created ISIS?

I assume you believe America invaded Iraq to steal their oil, correct? After they had invaded Iraq, America then decided to create a terror group with the sole purpose of attacking US troops and igniting sectarian civil war to destabilise the country and make it very difficult to extract oil. As the country got less and less stable and more and more US troops died, America kept training and funding these terrorists until most of the US public wanted America to leave and not involve themselves in foreign military adventures. America then withdrew from Iraq and the terrorists they trained took over large parts of the country, including parts with the oil. So they kept funding them while bombing them so they could justify a military presence in the area and get the oil which they couldn't now get because the people they were funding controlled it and wouldn't give it to them. They then bombed the oil production facilities and the people they were funding, making it impossible to get the oil that they invaded the country to control.

Long story short, America invaded a country to steal oil, then went out of their way to do as much as possible to prevent themselves from being able to exploit that oil.

Is that what you believe?
 

faroukfarouk

Active Member
Peace to all
Afghanistan is known as the grave yard of empires.Afghanistan has a reputation for humiliating would-be conquerors. Both the Soviets, in the 1980s, and the British, during the 19th century, were forced to beat bloody retreats from Afghanistan, deprived of what looked, on paper, to be easy victories.
So tell us why did America invade Afghanistan?
Peace
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
Oh, and that would just crush me. :rolleyes:

BTW, to show you how good your memory is, it was not you who put me on ignore, which is why you still were able to see what I was posting, Instead, it was I who put you on ignore at least twice that I can remember for reasons that should be obvious.

And a "fine" example as to why I did this can be found in your last post whereas you actually blame anthropologists for the "utterly failed" peace in Iraq?! Gee, I never knew we had so much power! :rolleyes:

It is this kind of utter nonsense that you constantly throw out. For you to blame anthropologists, of all people, for how the supposed peace in Iraq supposedly failed is nothing short of being a fabricated lie, and you know it. What a sorry and sad joke that even defies common sense and common decency.

Matter of fact, to end this conversation, I'll put you on ignore for at least the third time. However, I never leave anyone on ignore for long as I have no ability to hold grudges, so I may well be responding again in a couple of weeks or so. And a recommendation: maybe when and if you go to church this weekend, maybe it's time to take stock in what you are doing.

Anyhow, ^^ignore list^^, but have a Happy Thanksgiving anyway.
I am not investing the time to read your posts at this point.
 

Milton Platt

Well-Known Member
ISIS with a Islamic title has been killing many innocent civilians including Christians in the name of Islam.
They ISIS definitely do not represent the Islamic religion.They do have the hall marks of a beast with blood dripping from their hands.
The question is who created this monster?

It's more of a "what" rather than a "who" isn't it??? I would lay the blame on religious dogma.
 

faroukfarouk

Active Member
Peace to all
So they spent more than a billion dollars taking revenge for 9/11.
My friend you have poverty in your back yard and you spend more than a billion dollars taking revenge.
You have lost more troops fighting in Afghanistan than those that died on 9/11.
Do be honest if revenge was their objective than the truth is your beautiful country is governed by psychopaths.Keep in mind you still have troops there and you fighting a losing battle.Further you fighting a bunch of bare footed and ragged dressed men who are fighting you with weapons made in the US of A.Maybe if you take your blinkers off you will see the true picture.
The war is not about 9/11 not is it about oil........so why are you still there spending your billions?
Do you see the picture now or are you still wearing blinkers....

Now tell me when was the first time you heard of this name....Al Zarqawi?

Peace
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
Nation building tends to require this though.
That is a little different subject. First explain what it is you meant here in connection with the original issue so I have more to evaluate and work with.



There were no gains, it was a **** up from the start and was always going to be a **** up.

It was a war pursued for ridiculous ideological reasons and didn't fail because of poor execution but because it had completely unrealistic goals.
That was a gross over simplification. There are virtually no wars on that scale in the history of mankind that were as easily prosecuted and it was the war that was relevant to my comments. However I will address what you stated beyond the war its self. It is a much different thing to utterly conquer a nation and another to let a legion of bureaucrats immediately replace the generals in the middle of an almost unparalleled insurgency. You also made comments as to your opinion as to why the war was waged to begin with. That is not relevant to the issue we were discussing either but no one will ever know all the motivations of all those (and it was by far the majority) who were on board with invading. Everything from desires for vengeance after 9-11, to the flow of cash from Iraq to our enemies, to Saddam having threated Bush 2s father's life, the conclusion of all major western intelligence services as to Iraq having WMD, the absolute fact he had weapons of mass destruction (see the book by Georges Sada or the piles of WMD that have surfaced), and every shade of everything in between. Your going have to get much more specific, only claim to know what you actually can know, and show me the relevance before I can address many of your points adequately.



You were relying on Iraqi cooperation which would have been withdrawn. Unless you wanted an unending forceful occupation with no end game.
I did not really have a personal goal in the run up to these conflicts. I only knew that once it began what was necessary to carry out our desires was within our capability but not necessarily within our resolve. Your covering so many aspects of the wars in the middle east that to deal with them all means to do justice to none. Please decide whether you want to discuss how it began, how it was carried out, what was necessary to have ended it as well as could possibly be expected, or whether you want to critique how the peace was practically lost by bureaucrats and Obama? This is going to get out of hand quickly. I will finish responding but I can only make a comment or two on each of the many issues you raise.



Was just reflecting your logic: "We should stay because that's what strong leaders do".
That is exactly what Churchill did, what Lincoln, what even Stalin did and in the face of hundreds of times over what occurred in Iraq. IOW there is no comparison, now as an example of carrying it too far would be Alexander the great, perhaps the Peloponnesian wars, and definitely the later Roman wars. However Iraq contained only a miniscule fraction of what made those efforts failures. There are wars that can and should be won and Iraq was one of the most obvious. I do not see the evidence of your having studied military history sufficiently.

Why do you see the situation as one with a happy ending rather than gambler's ruin where you keep chasing after a losing cause.
I see neither. What I see was something that right or wrong once joined should have been and could have been carried out to at least my own satisfaction but instead was lost or at least greatly exasperated by a failure of will and the moral conviction of some.



And those you killed were being replaced by a production line of new recruits. You were providing a great training ground for terrorists.
I didn't kill anyone, but kill ratios do not get much more favorable than they were in Iraq even with the absurd and immoral rules of engagement forced on our troops by politicians who were safe at home. It was a golden opportunity to kill tens of thousands of terrorists who were for once coming to us out in the open instead of hiding in hospitals, schools, and behind human shields. It should have been kept up and if possible widened once it began and lengthened for as long as we could have but that requires a grasp of history, the moral resolve to fight evil even if unpopular to some, the moral clarity to understand what Islamic terrorism is, and the militaristic ability which we have in spades.

After the initial invasion, the successes you had were due to cooperation from the local population. When you told the local population to **** off they might have not been so willing to cooperate any more.
What is it with your using "you" all the time? My policy views were never consulted nor carried out. Also, why are you chastising me for being basically a warlord when your the one using the masked explicatives? When things started to come undone is the exact moment we stopped telling the population to take a hike.

What was the end game? Stay in Iraq endlessly killing terrorists who were being created by you staying in Iraq?
Then by all means we shouldn't fight anyone if we may make some of them mad, come of it. There are multivolume works about this issue. How can I answer this in a few lines?

Same as in Vietnam, the locals have all the time in the world. They know you don't and can outwait and outlast you.
1. Vietnam was won, North Vietnam agreed to every demand we made, they simply waited for us to leave then violated their word. 2. Vietnam was exacerbated by Liberals.

They were being set up to fail by the power brokers for political and corrupt reasons. It wasn't simply a matter of time.
Oh brother, how did I let a conspiracy theory slip in here?

Also remember you have just said a big, humiliating, face-losing, public **** you to these leaders who are now your enemies and are probably funneling your arms and money to those who will attack you with them (even more than they were doing before hand anyway).
No matter what letters I substitute in for your asterisks you statement is not coherent.

And you only have one argument which is silly, irrational and unhistorical. Stay for the sake of staying.
Stay for the sake of preventing what happened when we left.

The only reason to stay is that it would improve the situation, create stability and the opportunity for a peaceful Iraq to emerge.
We will never know because we didn't do it.

None of the institutions necessary to provide this existed though. More than that, they had never existed, just like the cultural values and will necessary to make such things happen.
To provide what? What never existed?

You berate Obama as an ideologue, yet your views are pure ideology without any grounding in reality. The neo-conservative/liberal interventionist ideology has so clearly failed yet you believe doubling down and 'moral fortitude' is all that is necessary: the policy was good but the will was weak.
Why in the world are almost all progressives who lecture others about tolerance and acceptance so mad all the time? You seem to be on full tilt rant and I can't figure out what you talking about in many cases so I can't respond. I am a life long military historian and served in the military during two wars then worked for the DOD after I got off duty. I am going to go with my own understanding of military history. I do not think you have yet even attempted to post a single historical military fact.

It failed when you had the support of much of the population, yet you think it would succeed when you effectively go to war against them?
Do you think I am the secretary of war or something? Why is every aspect of policy my own responsibility? You need to take a breath or get a nap. I sense much confusion in you which clouds your judgment.
 
That is a little different subject. First explain what it is you meant here in connection with the original issue so I have more to evaluate and work with.

Enabling a transition to a stable Iraq required nationbuilding, not just warfare.

If America wanted to withdraw before Iraq was stable then they would have been 'cutting and running' per your argument.

That was a gross over simplification. There are virtually no wars on that scale in the history of mankind that were as easily prosecuted and it was the war that was relevant to my comments.

If the goal was simply to kill people and defeat Saddam then it was very easy.

That wasn't the overall goal though, it was only part 1. The part 2 was the bit that was unrealistic.

There are wars that can and should be won and Iraq was one of the most obvious. I do not see the evidence of your having studied military history sufficiently.

No one is doubting that you could have killed lots more terrorists and insurgents if you had wanted to. What people are doubting is that this would have resulted in a more favourable exit scenario.

The point of staying was to make things better than they would otherwise have been, at least I assume that is what you believe.

What is it with your using "you" all the time?

It's quicker to type than America. It doesn't literally mean 1robin, I presumed you would be able to infer that.

No matter what letters I substitute in for your asterisks you statement is not coherent.

Also remember you have just said a big, humiliating, face-losing, public "flip you" to these leaders who are now your enemies and are probably funneling your arms and money to those who will attack you with them (even more than they were doing before hand anyway).

[When publicly shaming them by telling them their country is yours to do with as you please, the Iraqis might have been lightly miffed, withdrawn their cooperation, and started to think about other ways to encourage you to withdraw].

Oh brother, how did I let a conspiracy theory slip in here?

Conspiracy theory?

So the Iraqi Army stood firm in the face of overwhelming odds in their favour when they faced a few hundred jihadis who they vastly outnumbered and outgunned?

And you are saying the Iraqi powers that be were committed to the goal of a strong and disciplined military overseen by professional and effective leadership?

Why in the world are almost all progressives who lecture others about tolerance and acceptance so mad all the time? You seem to be on full tilt rant and I can't figure out what you talking about in many cases so I can't respond. I am a life long military historian and served in the military during two wars then worked for the DOD after I got off duty. I am going to go with my own understanding of military history. I do not think you have yet even attempted to post a single historical military fact.

I'm not a 'progressive' and there was no 'rant', unfortunately you assume far too much. Certain words were used because they are more accurate than saying 'a bit of a mess' or 'take a hike'.

Do you think I am the secretary of war or something? Why is every aspect of policy my own responsibility? You need to take a breath or get a nap. I sense much confusion in you which clouds your judgment.

I appreciate the cod psychology, very insightful.

Your lifelong study of military history has so far added up to "be strong like Churchill and everything will magically be ok. I've no idea why things might be ok because I'm not a politician, but somehow if we had stayed a bit longer and killed a few more terrorists then problems would simply resolve themselves."
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
Enabling a transition to a stable Iraq required nationbuilding, not just warfare.
The first thing I did was to look for your response to the question I asked as to which of these very complex issues you wished to discuss. I can not find your response. In fact I no longer even see my original question. So I am going to ask you again whether you want to discuss the reasons why we invaded Iraq, the prosecution of the war, the transition time and criteria (as in your nation building point), our actions in recent decades as it concerns terrorism in general, what I wished would have taken place, Obama's involvement, etc......? Each of these is complex and takes much effort to resolve. You cannot machine gun points at me from everyone of these categories and others I didn't mention and expect any kind of meaningful debate. Please pick one then give evidence instead of platitudes.

However I will again give a brief whack-a-mole response to each of your contentions but only if we can dive deeply into a single issue can clarity be achieved.

I agree that there is an analogue shift from warfare to nation building. But your stating that and my agreeing to it does nothing to show anything was done rightly or wrongly.

If America wanted to withdraw before Iraq was stable then they would have been 'cutting and running' per your argument.
America is composed of 300 million plus. It does not have a hive mind. I have not made any arguments about what any segment of the population thought about any aspect of the war. The points I made were about the actions that actually were taken and the actions that should have been taken. You really need to dial in on specific points and provide specific claims.

If the goal was simply to kill people and defeat Saddam then it was very easy.
These statements are like thought fragments. I read what you say as in the above and I cannot figure out what you trying to say, whether I can agree with or deny it, or what the conclusion is to the fragmentary premise is. I guess you saying that the military goals were easily achieved. Well the parts we allotted to the military resources was easily achieved, the problem was we very prematurely shifted from the militaristic effort before the job was done. The problem was that we shifted gears way way to soon into the "nation building mode", at the very least we should have kept up a much higher percentage of the total effort in the military sphere and only employed the nation building percentage very very gradually. However the pathetic politicians did the opposite with terrible consequences.

That wasn't the overall goal though, it was only part 1. The part 2 was the bit that was unrealistic.
See the above.

No one is doubting that you could have killed lots more terrorists and insurgents if you had wanted to. What people are doubting is that this would have resulted in a more favourable exit scenario.
Well about 99% of people who say anything what so ever about the wars in the middle east have no idea what they are talking about. Besides it is hard to quantify the term people. Please state an actual policy or action that did occur, should have occurred, or should not have occurred instead of appealing to the committee of "they". The problems we have right now are almost exclusively with the terrorists that we could have killed while we were there, if not that then we should have retained sufficient QRFs when we drew down, but what actually took place was neither and has been a disaster. Those are not hypotheticals or appeals to "some people" but actual actions and horrific consequences.

The point of staying was to make things better than they would otherwise have been, at least I assume that is what you believe.
Exactly how bad do things have to get before you will condemn the actions that caused them? We currently have a massive and textbook example of how to fail as a result of passivity even after the war proper was won. Juxtapose what we did in Iraq with what we did in Japan and you have two actual events on opposite ends of the spectrum which resulted in effects on the opposite ends of the spectrum as well. If actual events don't inform your opinion then you have no use for reality.



It's quicker to type than America. It doesn't literally mean 1robin, I presumed you would be able to infer that.
It's misleading. Anyone not previously informed would think you meant me. It also ascribes the view point of everyone to one person and it does not allow for the fact that view points are all over the place concerning the different aspects of the war on terror. I do not care what word you use as long as it is obvious. You keep trying to shorthand everything as you simultaneously make generalized points in dozens of complex categories. It is a perfect storm of dysfunctionality.

Also remember you have just said a big, humiliating, face-losing, public "flip you" to these leaders who are now your enemies and are probably funneling your arms and money to those who will attack you with them (even more than they were doing before hand anyway).
This is only slightly better. If you use "you" to mean America's opinions of both sides which is self contradictory to begin with, how am I going to know when you mean me when you use "you". It is not obvious, American's do not have one monolithic opinion, and no it is not my fault that your terminology is confusing.

[When publicly shaming them by telling them their country is yours to do with as you please, the Iraqis might have been lightly miffed, withdrawn their cooperation, and started to think about other ways to encourage you to withdraw].
Show me how your rational above worked as applied to 1945 Japan. Fire bombing a hundred cities and melting two more is infinitely worse than Iraq had to endure. Or how about Carthage in the Punic war. Looks like the greater the flip you inflicted, the greater the ease of transition.



Conspiracy theory?
Yes, textbook. When you claim everyone in power conspired to do X when you cannot possibly know they did, then the rest of us call it a conspiracy theory.

So the Iraqi Army stood firm in the face of overwhelming odds in their favour when they faced a few hundred jihadis who they vastly outnumbered and outgunned?
The Iraqi army should not have even existed until everything was well in hand, relying on them in anyway was a monumental mistake.

And you are saying the Iraqi powers that be were committed to the goal of a strong and disciplined military overseen by professional and effective leadership?
Only a fool would have trusted the Iraqis to do anything. Bush was foolish but Obama was the king of fools in that regard. If it was me, it would have been decades before I left affairs up to the Iraqis.

I'm not a 'progressive' and there was no 'rant', unfortunately you assume far too much. Certain words were used because they are more accurate than saying 'a bit of a mess' or 'take a hike'.
Then you are not much of a linguist. English contains plenty of wards more accurate and less vulgar than you have used. Your views are on the progressive side of this issue.

I appreciate the cod psychology, very insightful.
Don't know what that means but what I said was a star wars joke.

Your lifelong study of military history has so far added up to "be strong like Churchill and everything will magically be ok. I've no idea why things might be ok because I'm not a politician, but somehow if we had stayed a bit longer and killed a few more terrorists then problems would simply resolve themselves."
I have mentioned Churchill, Stalin, the defeat of Europe and Japan, Alexander the Great, the Punic wars, the fall of the Roman empire, Lincoln, the civil war, and perhaps the conquests. You have yet to attempt a single example of anything in history but you did manage to sum all of the views on the war on terror into the term "you". Good work.
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
Peace to all
Afghanistan is known as the grave yard of empires.Afghanistan has a reputation for humiliating would-be conquerors. Both the Soviets, in the 1980s, and the British, during the 19th century, were forced to beat bloody retreats from Afghanistan, deprived of what looked, on paper, to be easy victories.
So tell us why did America invade Afghanistan?
Peace
I do not get the reasoning here. Are you actually claiming we should not have attacked al-Qaida in the stronghold used to launch terror attacks on innocent people because it might be difficult? Especially since we effectively drove them out of Afghanistan with less casualties over the entire war than we suffered on any one of hundreds of days in our past wars. Our biggest problem in Afghanistan is we are running out of terrorists who will actually come out and fight.

The reasons why some powerful nations did not conquer Afghanistan is that there is nothing there that is valuable enough to bother fighting for it for too long, and that when Russia invaded we equipped the Afghans, which for reasons I as yet can't figure out, made them hate us.
 

faroukfarouk

Active Member
Peace to all.
My friend 1robin.
You make it sound as if the Americans have won the war in Afghanistan but the reality is its in your imagination.My friend the war has only started.The Americans troops had to run away with their tails chopped off.Presently the Americans are paying their puppets to continue the fight to save their humiliation.The only reason why you did not see the enemy in combat was because they were paid not to kill.You do remember the French paid the Taliban not to kill there troops.
Now let me ask you a simple question.
The word "Al-Qaida" means foundation or base.
When was the first time you heard of this word "Al-Qaida"?
Peace
 
The first thing I did was to look for your response to the question I asked as to which of these very complex issues you wished to discuss.

When the decision was made, was withdrawing the least bad thing to do?

America is composed of 300 million plus. It does not have a hive mind. I have not made any arguments about what any segment of the population thought about any aspect of the war.

Do you go out of your way to purposely misunderstand things or does pedantry come naturally?

If I say the Battle of Britain was fought between Germany and Britain, it doesn't mean all of Britain verses all of Germany. It doesn't mean there were no Nazi sympathisers in Britain, or Germans working for the allies. It doesn't mean everyone in Britain and Germany was behind the war effort or that there were no pacifists. It doesn't mean that everybody involved was even from Britain or Germany.

It just means that the major belligerents were Britain and Germany. This is a standard English language convention.

It's misleading. Anyone not previously informed would think you meant me. It also ascribes the view point of everyone to one person and it does not allow for the fact that view points are all over the place concerning the different aspects of the war on terror. I do not care what word you use as long as it is obvious.

The beauty of language is that meaning is dependent on context rather than any intrinsic value carried by the word used. The beauty of the human mind is that it is able to work out the meaning of words used in different contexts.

If my national team lost at football and my foreign friend said 'haha, we destroyed you yesterday' I can work out that we doesn't involve him; you doesn't involve me, and destroyed doesn't involve any actual destruction.

Yes, textbook. When you claim everyone in power conspired to do X when you cannot possibly know they did, then the rest of us call it a conspiracy theory.

When there is a mountain of information to support the point, including statements by the Iraqi Interior Minister and other significant figures in society then we might have reason to prefer 'generally accepted fact' over 'conspiracy theory', but each to their own.

The army was a hive of corruption which is why it crumbled against a tiny force of jihadis. Do you have any other explanation for why this happened other than systemic corruption?

Then you are not much of a linguist. English contains plenty of wards more accurate and less vulgar than you have used. Your views are on the progressive side of this issue.

Seeing as a critique of language seems important to you.

Your views on the issue are more progressive than mine. Sorry if that causes you discomfort.

My views on this issue are actually what would be considered traditionally conservative, given that they involve accept the limitations of humanity and how these prevent us from remaking the world however we see fit. (Neo-cons were 'neo' because they were progressives on international affairs, they just saw 'conservatives' as the best vehicle for achieving their goal)

The Iraq war was a progressive war, not a conservative war. This is why people like Blair supported it. It was ideological and to a degree utopian. It was tied to the idea of progress and a universal direction of man towards a common goal.

If you prefer historical examples, the European left was almost as equally in favour of colonial wars of conquest as was there right. Empire had a progressive goal as well as a nationalist one.

It's not my fault you're not much of a linguist and use language inaccurately ;)

(I do actually know that isn't what you were trying to say, but hey what's good for the goose...)

how me how your rational above worked as applied to 1945 Japan. Fire bombing a hundred cities and melting two more is infinitely worse than Iraq had to endure. Or how about Carthage in the Punic war. Looks like the greater the flip you inflicted, the greater the ease of transition.

Was about local cooperation post-war, not the actual conquest.

The Japanese occupation would have been a very different story if the Japanese had withdrawn their cooperation and started working to undermine and attack you at every opportunity (not that I see the 2 situations as in any way analogous).

I have mentioned Churchill, Stalin, the defeat of Europe and Japan, Alexander the Great, the Punic wars, the fall of the Roman empire, Lincoln, the civil war, and perhaps the conquests. You have yet to attempt a single example of anything in history but you did manage to sum all of the views on the war on terror into the term "you". Good work.

Ok, if you really wish to discuss history. As I mentioned before it's just as easy to find examples where the kind of 'strong leadership' and refusal to accept the present situation has led to a worse outcome. You are just flinging about random historical events and claiming they are analogous.

It's pretty easy to do, although not always very useful. For example, the 7th C "Islamic" conquests were successful because they left the conquered territories to govern themselves as long as they paid their taxes. Day to day life was practically unchanged so they had little reason to rebel. Therefore America should have ensured stable power networks and protected physical infrastructure to ensure transition Iraq was as stable as possible.

To quote Abba Eban on the 'perils of analogy', "This apple is round, red, shiny, and good to eat. This rubber ball is round, red and shiny. Therefore, there is at least a strong probability that it will be good to eat. The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature."

The Japan example seems to me like a textbook example of the kind of flawed analogy Mr Eban was talking about. Using WW2 examples, Germany would have been by far the better choice, don't you think? It's still problematic of course, but at least a lot better.

Japan is a terrible analogy as 'The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature'.

If Obama chose to forcibly occupied Iraq after being asked to leave:

Iraq: government working against you, widespread uprising, divided, sectarian civil conflict, ethnically diverse, corrupt, nepotistic, tribal, lack of civil society structures, lack of respect for state and legal systems, undeveloped legal systems, little history of modern nationhood, no overriding loyalty to state above other identity markers, regional powers competing for internal influence, unstable patronage networks but access to boundless supplies of money with the right connections/position etc. etc.

Japan: pretty much the opposite

Chalk/cheese

As a keen student of history do you really think it is a good analogy?

If you want to learn from history, there's more to learn from the break up of Yugoslavia, or perhaps the sectarian conflict in Maluku in the years after the downfall of Suharto, or maybe 90s Rwanda. Japan, not so much. We could discuss why if you like.

If, instead of seeing it as experience to learn from, you are purposely trawling history to confirm your preexisting, ideologically based opinions then you'll find something you can use no problem. "The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun." Confirmation bias works wonders for the soul.
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
When the decision was made, was withdrawing the least bad thing to do?
I asked you which one of about 5 or 6 things it was that you keep making statements about you wished to concentrate on. It appears you did not respond except to make a statement about a seventh issue. I give up trying to steer this conversation onto a single topic so it can be sufficiently handled.

I am speaking from a vantage point they did not have at that point but IMO us withdrawing when we did instead of waiting it out in full on military mode for much longer was the worst possible action we could take within the set of rational choices we had available.



Do you go out of your way to purposely misunderstand things or does pedantry come naturally?
I prefer to debate in depth about very specific issues then only once that has been done move to another specific issue. Pretty much the exact opposite to what you have been doing. I have attempted many times to get you to make specific points, and to use proper language so as to be coherent. One of those attempts has been to get you to stop generalizing. At this point my efforts do not seem to make any difference. I give up on getting you stick to a single properly articulated position. I will instead use your posts to fill up down time at work for as long as I have it.

BTW I am not all that particular about grammar and hermeneutics as I stink at grammar myself but it is my own interest to be able to understand what you are trying so hard to say because only once I do so can I agree or deny your positions. I have hard very few debates where I have had more trouble to just find out what your saying. It is not my fault that you constantly use words that are so hard to quantify.

If I say the Battle of Britain was fought between Germany and Britain, it doesn't mean all of Britain verses all of Germany. It doesn't mean there were no Nazi sympathisers in Britain, or Germans working for the allies. It doesn't mean everyone in Britain and Germany was behind the war effort or that there were no pacifists. It doesn't mean that everybody involved was even from Britain or Germany.
That is not what you did, an accurate analogy would have been if you said that Britain preferred small or large wings in the air war referred to as the battle of Britain. The fact of the matter is many wanted large wings and many small wings so you must differentiate and not generalize if I am to be able to evaluate what your saying. I have everything to gain and nothing to lose in understanding what you say so if instead I can't understand you it is because you are very very vague.

It just means that the major belligerents were Britain and Germany. This is a standard English language convention.
The battle of Britain actually refers to a several month long air engagement between more than Germany on one side, and much more than just Britain on the other side and covers tactical strategies that concentrated on airfields then switched to strategic bombing of cities and even these two types of fighting were composed of phases. Now, it is not always necessary to be precise but for the claims you keep making to lead to a meaningful discussion precision is required. You might ask how much precision is necessary, it would vary but so far you are using terms that are about as general and vague as possible and so this discussion has not been meaningful so far. Using the word "you" concerning policy is to use language which does not accomplish or adequately explain anything.


The beauty of language is that meaning is dependent on context rather than any intrinsic value carried by the word used. The beauty of the human mind is that it is able to work out the meaning of words used in different contexts.
No, dictionaries are so valuable because they provide an absolute definition in most cases. Ask a lawyer whether precision in hermeneutics is necessary. Precision is necessary because it provides the common ground to allow understanding.

This is going from meaningless to obsessive. You went from making sweeping generalizations about a dozen issues to obsessing about the nature of discourse. I sure hope you right your ship before long.

If my national team lost at football and my foreign friend said 'haha, we destroyed you yesterday' I can work out that we doesn't involve him; you doesn't involve me, and destroyed doesn't involve any actual destruction.
I am only going to respond to one more point on your use of language because you keep saying the same thing over and over and none of them have anything to do with the subject. Without the slightest doubt I did not have a mere issue with common language use. I did not tell you I had a problem with the word you. I knew that even you did not literally mean "me" when you said "you". The problem was that when I tried to figure out who you actually meant there was no way to figure it out. No matter what word I plugged into what you said instead of "you" or any other euphemism you have used it still did not make what you said coherent.

At this point I will ignore your statements about language use. I have made my position clear and repeating myself every time you repeat yourself will not help.



When there is a mountain of information to support the point, including statements by the Iraqi Interior Minister and other significant figures in society then we might have reason to prefer 'generally accepted fact' over 'conspiracy theory', but each to their own.
You originally did not mention a single person but instead over generalized again, and since you did not and still haven't provided any evidence then your still in the realm of a conspiracy. Until you show exactly who, exactly why, and then explain why those you mention were able to overcome all those that did not do what you claim, you will still be in conspiracy mode.

People who have an evidence based position can easily provide specific examples, specific evidence, specific events, and proper quantification of the data. Those that have a preferred narrative usually based on preference and emotion generalize and mention vague conspiracies.

The army was a hive of corruption which is why it crumbled against a tiny force of jihadis. Do you have any other explanation for why this happened other than systemic corruption?
Assuming you meant the Iraqi army (and at least you finally got back to something relevant), my position is more consistent with their ineffectiveness. Their being completely unreliable and corrupt is an argument for my position not yours. I am the one suggesting Obama and others transitioned to dependence of corrupt Muslims way before they should have.



Seeing as a critique of language seems important to you.
Redundant and irrelevant. In fact I need a break from this very thing so I will continue this later.

Continued below.
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
your views on the issue are more progressive than mine. Sorry if that causes you discomfort.
Ugghhhh. Ok, you do not get it so instead of politics lets use military terms. Hawks are characterized by their primary reliance on force (this is usually associated with conservatism), doves are characterized by their aversion to relying on force (usually a liberal position). I am arguing for the greater use of force in Iraq, your not.

My views on this issue are actually what would be considered traditionally conservative, given that they involve accept the limitations of humanity and how these prevent us from remaking the world however we see fit. (Neo-cons were 'neo' because they were progressives on international affairs, they just saw 'conservatives' as the best vehicle for achieving their goal)
You seem to get obsessive about everything but word usage and making specific points. If you think your a conservative that is fine with me but your position on Iraq is not one usually associated with conservatism, but I really do not care.

The Iraq war was a progressive war, not a conservative war. This is why people like Blair supported it. It was ideological and to a degree utopian. It was tied to the idea of progress and a universal direction of man towards a common goal.
What do you think politically progressive means?

If you prefer historical examples, the European left was almost as equally in favour of colonial wars of conquest as was there right. Empire had a progressive goal as well as a nationalist one.
I have no idea what your talking about and I really do not care. Please get back to the original issue which was Obama having done a poor job in Iraq.

It's not my fault you're not much of a linguist and use language inaccurately ;)

(I do actually know that isn't what you were trying to say, but hey what's good for the goose...)
This is redundant and irrelevant.

Was about local cooperation post-war, not the actual conquest.

The Japanese occupation would have been a very different story if the Japanese had withdrawn their cooperation and started working to undermine and attack you at every opportunity (not that I see the 2 situations as in any way analogous).
It was the prosecution of the war that made what happened after the war possible. We systematically broke Germany and Japan. The wars we waged at that time were total wars. They understood that if you are going to fight, you employ every weapon available until the absolute end and capitulation of our enemy occurs. If you ever get the chance, you need to see a movie called Emperor with Tommy Lee Jones as Macarthur. Everything we were able to accomplish after hostilities ended was because of what occurred before the fighting finished and even then it was primarily the military that facilitated the pacification of Japan and Germany. There is almost no parallel between what occurred in the end game concerning Japan in 1945 and Iraq, however if you imagine that Truman had come to power in 44 and ended the war at that point instead of in Sept 1945 then you would have had the same situation as in Iraq. Thank God Obama was not president in 1944. Since you cannot be specific about Iraq maybe we should stick to the comparison of Japan in 1945 as a basis for what should have, but did not happen in Iraq. The Japanese were certainly just as stubborn, just as fanatical, and just as proud as the Iraqis. The difference is what we did in each case not in who we did it to.


Ok, if you really wish to discuss history. As I mentioned before it's just as easy to find examples where the kind of 'strong leadership' and refusal to accept the present situation has led to a worse outcome. You are just flinging about random historical events and claiming they are analogous.
I know, I am the only one that gave examples of where that has occurred. The difference is that the Iraq war had nothing in common with those times where militaries fought on way too long. For example most of the time this occurred the problem was that the attacking side kept invading other places, nations, and peoples beyond their immediate goal even though they were less dominant that our forces are in comparison. Iraq was only about Iraq.

It's pretty easy to do, although not always very useful. For example, the 7th C "Islamic" conquests were successful because they left the conquered territories to govern themselves as long as they paid their taxes. Day to day life was practically unchanged so they had little reason to rebel. Therefore America should have ensured stable power networks and protected physical infrastructure to ensure transition Iraq was as stable as possible.
You do not want to bring Islam into this. 7th century Islam offered conversion, extortion, or death. In fact in northern Africa and other places Muslims got so filthy rich from over taxing those they conquered that they outlawed conversion to keep as many people as possible paying their crippling tax rates. My argument is that America screwed up by not using more force for longer like the Muslims did, your argument is that they should have been more passive which is not what Islam did.

To quote Abba Eban on the 'perils of analogy', "This apple is round, red, shiny, and good to eat. This rubber ball is round, red and shiny. Therefore, there is at least a strong probability that it will be good to eat. The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature."
Well in 1robin's commentary on analogies, I state that only those aspects that are paralleled in an analogy are used to make a point. I can show what aspects are analogous between Iraq and Japan but at this point I do not think it would help.

The Japan example seems to me like a textbook example of the kind of flawed analogy Mr Eban was talking about. Using WW2 examples, Germany would have been by far the better choice, don't you think? It's still problematic of course, but at least a lot better.
I think Japan and Germany are both suitable analogies. Japan, Germany, and Iraq had fanatic populations, they all fought the US, they all lost, etc...... The difference is that we fought a total war against Germany and Japan and the peace was won afterwards where as everyone but especially Obama did not fight a total war against Iraq and the peace is still a nightmare in that case.

Japan is a terrible analogy as 'The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature'.
For better or worse we have the analogies we do because I am the only one being specific enough to use reality in my argumentation.

If Obama chose to forcibly occupied Iraq after being asked to leave:

Iraq: government working against you, widespread uprising, divided, sectarian civil conflict, ethnically diverse, corrupt, nepotistic, tribal, lack of civil society structures, lack of respect for state and legal systems, undeveloped legal systems, little history of modern nationhood, no overriding loyalty to state above other identity markers, regional powers competing for internal influence, unstable patronage networks but access to boundless supplies of money with the right connections/position etc. etc.

Japan: pretty much the opposite
Exactly, the primary difference being we had Roosevelt and Truman who fought to win in WW2 and we had the opposite (primarily in Obama) in the Iraq war. Everything else you mention simply flows from that difference. If we had fought in Iraq the way we did in WW2 I am certain that most of what you mentioned about Iraq would never have been the case. You are literally making my argument for me.


As a keen student of history do you really think it is a good analogy?
Is what a good strategy, you didn't supply one?

I can give a very detailed plan about what I would have done in Iraq and what I think would have occurred, but for now I would simply say that if what we did in WW2 had been done in Iraq the results would have looked more like Germany after WW2 instead of the nightmare that we currently have in Iraq.

If you want to learn from history, there's more to learn from the break up of Yugoslavia, or perhaps the sectarian conflict in Maluku in the years after the downfall of Suharto, or maybe 90s Rwanda. Japan, not so much. We could discuss why if you like.
None of those is even close to Iraq. Tell me what army in Yugoslavia, Suharto, Rwanda, or Maluku even remotely resembles that of the US led coalition in Iraq, just to start with? What fleets in any of those events did the US send to challenge anyone? What great war in any of those events utterly annihilated one of the largest standing armies on Earth in your examples? What weapons of mass destruction existed in your examples. I am relieved you finally are attempting to supply examples but you should have chosen better ones.

If, instead of seeing it as experience to learn from, you are purposely trawling history to confirm your preexisting, ideologically based opinions then you'll find something you can use no problem. "The thing that hath been, it is that which shall be; and that which is done is that which shall be done: and there is no new thing under the sun." Confirmation bias works wonders for the soul.

1. It is my argument, not yours, that unlike in WW2 we royally screwed up in Iraq and need to admit what went wrong and do better next time.
2. It is my argument that if we do not learn from history (and your doing your best not to) that we will repeat it, because there is nothing new under the sun.
3. However, as in your case we will not learn from history because we are not honest about our failures and we fail to learn from the past because like you we think what recently occurred is new to history.
 
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What do you think politically progressive means?


In the broadest sense, favouring reform through government action. Remaking society according to one's wills rather than existing traditions. Communism and fascism were (small p) progressive ideologies.

You don't trust big, centralised, bureaucratic government to run your country, why do you trust it for Iraq in a far worse situation? It's a strange inconsistency.

Neo-con progressivism also believed in universal values, such as liberal democracy.

Hawk/dove is irrelevant to progressive/conservative.


It was the prosecution of the war that made what happened after the war possible. We systematically broke Germany and Japan. The wars we waged at that time were total wars. They understood that if you are going to fight, you employ every weapon available until the absolute end and capitulation of our enemy occurs.

You don't see a difference between fighting a centralised, hierarchical government and fighting an insurgency?

Well in 1robin's commentary on analogies, I state that only those aspects that are paralleled in an analogy are used to make a point. I can show what aspects are analogous between Iraq and Japan but at this point I do not think it would help.

"The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature" which is why I put greater stock in Abba Eban's understanding than yours.

You chose a perfect example, one of the best and clearest to illustrate the above point. I've explained the reasons I think so but you thought they supported your view.


You do not want to bring Islam into this. 7th century Islam offered conversion, extortion, or death. In fact in northern Africa and other places Muslims got so filthy rich from over taxing those they conquered that they outlawed conversion to keep as many people as possible paying their crippling tax rates. My argument is that America screwed up by not using more force for longer like the Muslims did, your argument is that they should have been more passive which is not what Islam did.

Was an example of a specious analogy.

(people also weren't offered conversion, extortion or death and many of the conquerers were Jews and Christians but that's another story.)

Exactly, the primary difference being we had Roosevelt and Truman who fought to win in WW2 and we had the opposite (primarily in Obama) in the Iraq war. Everything else you mention simply flows from that difference. If we had fought in Iraq the way we did in WW2 I am certain that most of what you mentioned about Iraq would never have been the case. You are literally making my argument for me.

You don't see a difference between WW2 and a localised insurgency by part of the population alongside sectarian civil unrest?

If you think I'm making the case for you, then you really don't get it. Everything I said points to America being unable to enforce democracy down the barrels of countless guns.

Do you know the story behind how Iraq was created and why it was created in this way? One of the main figures was a woman called Gertrude Bell, who unlike the American leadership, understood the local population. She designed the country to be ruled by a Sunni minority to prevent a Shia theocracy emerging. The Kurds were integrated to prevent them being able to establish a Kurdish homeland. The country was designed to be divided and to avoid majority dominance. All of these repressed forces were unleashed by the removal of Saddam. Zarqawi's attempts to ignite sectarian conflict to support the jihadi playbook as outlined in The management of savagery , Sunni/Shia death squads, Shia politicians using the organs of state to pursue grudges against Sunni politicians, etc. made the country practically ungovernable. Many Sunnis preferred ISIS to their own "democratic" government.

Even within the 3 ethno-religious communities power was fragmented, there was no hierarchical structure like in Japan with which to help control the population.

None of those is even close to Iraq. Tell me what army in Yugoslavia, Suharto, Rwanda, or Maluku even remotely resembles that of the US led coalition in Iraq, just to start with? What fleets in any of those events did the US send to challenge anyone? What great war in any of those events utterly annihilated one of the largest standing armies on Earth in your examples? What weapons of mass destruction existed in your examples. I am relieved you finally are attempting to supply examples but you should have chosen better ones.

They are perfect examples of what was bound to happen once you removed Saddam.

You think only of major battles and conventional armies and treat the society itself as completely irrelevant.

I've never doubted America could win conventional battles till the cows come home, what I doubt is that you could have created a stable Iraq, especially not from the situation in 2008.

Only the Iraqis can create a stable society, and they have to learn how to do that themselves

1. It is my argument, not yours, that unlike in WW2 we royally screwed up in Iraq and need to admit what went wrong and do better next time.
2. It is my argument that if we do not learn from history (and your doing your best not to) that we will repeat it, because there is nothing new under the sun.
3. However, as in your case we will not learn from history because we are not honest about our failures and we fail to learn from the past because like you we think what recently occurred is new to history.

My lesson from history would have been don't involve yourself in ideological and counterproductive foreign military adventures. What happened was bound to happen, not because America was 'too soft' but because regime change was futile. It also set the jihadi cause forward beyond their wildest dreams, since 9/11 America has done everything they wanted and prayed for.

But WW2 Japan is the most important lesson from history, eh?
 
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1robin

Christian/Baptist
In the broadest sense, favouring reform through government action. Remaking society according to one's wills rather than existing traditions. Communism and fascism were (small p) progressive ideologies.
I was asking for a definition within the context of our discussion about Iraq. We have not been having a discussion about political theory in general. Also if I was you I would skip to the last part of my second post in response to you because it contains a summary which sums up all of these points, because you just are not getting what my position is.

You don't trust big, centralized, bureaucratic government to run your country, why do you trust it for Iraq in a far worse situation? It's a strange inconsistency.
You keep suggesting things which prove my position. It was my contention (not yours) that it was civilian doo-gooders who wasted all the gains made by the blood of veterans. I have stated over and over that I thought the military should have been more aggressive, comprehensive, and for a longer time than they actually were. The bloated civilian bureaucracy was far too large and stepped in far too early with terrible ideas.

Neo-con progressivism also believed in universal values, such as liberal democracy.

Hawk/dove is irrelevant to progressive/conservative.
I am going to respond to this but in the interest of sliming this discussion down I will be brief. The only political world views appropriate to this discussion are doves and hawks. Doves are usually liberal leaning and you seem to be one, Hawks are more militaristic minded and are associated with the right and my own views. However this issue is an off ramp. If you think your a conservative that is fine with me, but I am only talking about this issue.




You don't see a difference between fighting a centralised, hierarchical government and fighting an insurgency?
Of course there is a difference but in this context it is irrelevant. There has never been a society more desirous and prone to a perpetual insurgency that Imperial Japan. The reason there was nothing like the insurgency that occurred in Iraq from the Japanese in 1945 is because we devastated their will by practicing total war. Did you know that virtually the entire military leadership in Japan right before the atomic weapons were dropped told Hirohito that they wanted to fight to the last man. The emperor was considering what to do when two atomic bombs turned about 200,000 people to ash. He was so devastated by what happened to his people and what would happen if they continued to resist, the he courageously defied all his generals and unconditionally surrendered.

This is getting out of hand. Continued below:
 

1robin

Christian/Baptist
The basic truth is that circumstances in which situations differ from each other may precisely be those that define their essential nature" which is why I put greater stock in Abba Eban's understanding than yours.

You chose a perfect example, one of the best and clearest to illustrate the above point. I've explained the reasons I think so but you thought they supported your view.
I simply deny everything you said here. My contention is that to the best of my knowledge the analogy between Japan in the 40s and our involvement in Iraq are as similar in their core attributes as any other similar military event I can think of. The difference is the way we finished the war in Iraq and Japan. What we did in Iraq worked horrifically, what we did in Japan however worked as well as anyone could reasonably hope. If you do not agree with this analogy then please first explain exactly what is wrong with it then provide a single better event to use as the analogy and preferably not a relatively small and obscure event.

Was an example of a specious analogy.

(people also weren't offered conversion, extortion or death and many of the conquerers were Jews and Christians but that's another story.)
What? Are you saying that the example of 7th century Islam that you brought up was an example of a terrible analogy? Regardless, of course the same dynamic did not accompany every single event, but in general what I said was true was in fact true and not in any meaningful way were the Christians or Jews part of the 7th century offensive Islamic expansion and conquest following Muhammad's death.



You don't see a difference between WW2 and a localised insurgency by part of the population alongside sectarian civil unrest?
Your missing the whole point, the point is that we did not have a Japanese insurgency (even though they were far more inclined to one) because we did not handle the end of major hostilities in Iraq the way we did in WW2. It is getting hard to believe you do not get this by now.

If you think I'm making the case for you, then you really don't get it. Everything I said points to America being unable to enforce democracy down the barrels of countless guns.
How would you know? We did it in Japan, Germany, the Philippines, we even did so in our own western expansion and it was the absence of the thousands of barrels in Iraq that caused the failure. What we do not is that our premature cessation of hostilities and the introduction of civilian bureaucrats failed in Iraq. I do not know how much more clear historical events can be in this case.

Do you know the story behind how Iraq was created and why it was created in this way? One of the main figures was a woman called Gertrude Bell, who unlike the American leadership, understood the local population. She designed the country to be ruled by a Sunni minority to prevent a Shia theocracy emerging. The Kurds were integrated to prevent them being able to establish a Kurdish homeland. The country was designed to be divided and to avoid majority dominance. All of these repressed forces were unleashed by the removal of Saddam. Zarqawi's attempts to ignite sectarian conflict to support the jihadi playbook as outlined in The management of savagery , Sunni/Shia death squads, Shia politicians using the organs of state to pursue grudges against Sunni politicians, etc. made the country practically ungovernable. Many Sunnis preferred ISIS to their own "democratic" government.
Iraq has been destroyed and then recreated dozens of times going so far back it was not even called Iraq. Which one of these events are you referring to? Since you went on to speak about recent events I guess you meant this last iteration of Iraq. I will have to say that for the first time you have actually posted some historical evidence. We actually should delete everything else you have said and simply debate this post of yours but I will let you decide. For now I will address this in a summary below.

Even within the 3 ethno-religious communities power was fragmented, there was no hierarchical structure like in Japan with which to help control the population.
Where have these responses like this and the one immediately above been hiding? Why have you said so many irrational and vague things when you could have been posting this stuff? Again my summary at the end of this post (if I ever get to the end) should at least begin to address these points.

They are perfect examples of what was bound to happen once you removed Saddam.
Absolutely and we should have done what had worked in these same instances instead of what we actually did.

You think only of major battles and conventional armies and treat the society itself as completely irrelevant.
It is an order of events issue as to what I pay attention to, again my summary at the end should also answer this.

I've never doubted America could win conventional battles till the cows come home, what I doubt is that you could have created a stable Iraq, especially not from the situation in 2008.

Only the Iraqis can create a stable society, and they have to learn how to do that themselves



My lesson from history would have been don't involve yourself in ideological and counterproductive foreign military adventures. What happened was bound to happen, not because America was 'too soft' but because regime change was futile. It also set the jihadi cause forward beyond their wildest dreams, since 9/11 America has done everything they wanted and prayed for.

But WW2 Japan is the most important lesson from history, eh?
With the exception of your posting some details about why what we did, did not work which only makes my suggestions more valid you are saying the same thing over and over. I would suggest that you drop everything you are saying here except for the details you give about the failure of a nation building in the context of Iraq. However it is up to you. I will provide my own summary here which should apply to all your points.

1. You finally mentioned some actual reasons why you think our efforts in Iraq went south. Even if all of your reasons and examples were perfectly true they do not impact my contentions.
2. My view on the Iraq war has nothing to do with how or why the nation building effort went off track. If my views were followed our mistakes would not have failed even if mistakes were made.
3. I have no stated anything about how the nation building succeeded or failed, your missing what I am saying.
4. My views are about how the military should have been used. In a very general sense we should have maintained our military efforts far longer than we did. Instead of politicians ruining everything the military gained through blood, sweat, and tears the military should have imposed martial law until Iraq's political infrastructure was well established and entrenched. For example General Macarthur pacified post war Japan instead of the politicians doing so in Iraq.
5. Now I am not arrogant enough to suggest I was aware of the terrible Iraqi ineptitude and corruption that would come into play after major operations ceased, but I was sufficient skeptical of them that I would not have secured from marshal law until things there met my satisfaction.
6. I would have carried out this policy by establishing QRFs across the country of several thousand specialized personal in each, I would have left two battle groups in the region, I would have threatened Iran with devastation if we found they were interfering with Iraq, I would have kept air wings throughout the region equipped with lantern pods, E2C Hawkeyes, BFTs, tactical, and strategic WSs, etc... and among a thousand other things I would have confiscated Iraq's oil until we paid our selves back and then directed every penny into rebuilding Iraq until the job was done as well as . So that every eruption in violence would be met with a virtually apocalyptic response. I could type pages containing military capabilities I would have kept in place and used in Iraq for far longer than it actually was.
7. I would have kept the entire region under an iron fist while we were already deployed. This would have ensured our absolute control over all political events in the area. While we retained absolute control over everything there I would have slowly turned over control of operations to the Iraqis. In this overly brief scenario we could have had all kinds of political failures but with far less disastrous results.
8. I am not qualified to evaluate or suggest how the nation building should have gone, but I am qualified to say how the military situation should have gone. With my full plan in place Iraq could have taken a decade to get their political and theological house in order. I do not know how to run a country but I do know how to hold a country militarily until others can figure out how to run it. Obama seems to have failed on both accounts.

I considered and probably should have only responded with a more comprehensive summary similar to that above because you do not seem to understand what it is I am arguing for. The problems you mentioned would not have produced the horrific results in my plan even if they were all encountered again and again. There would have been mistakes even with my plan but there would not have been an ISIS.
 
I was asking for a definition within the context of our discussion about Iraq. We have not been having a discussion about political theory in general.

It was in context. You are advocating social reform through government action, even though you hate it in your own country and find it ineffective/harmful.

What? Are you saying that the example of 7th century Islam that you brought up was an example of a terrible analogy? Regardless, of course the same dynamic did not accompany every single event, but in general what I said was true was in fact true and not in any meaningful way were the Christians or Jews part of the 7th century offensive Islamic expansion and conquest following Muhammad's death.

That was the context yes. Specious though, not terrible.

You are wrong about the conquests btw. You seem to be swallowing the anachronistic Muslim narrative a bit too easily.

Your missing the whole point, the point is that we did not have a Japanese insurgency (even though they were far more inclined to one) because we did not handle the end of major hostilities in Iraq the way we did in WW2. It is getting hard to believe you do not get this by now.

I understand your point, I just find it very naive.

Iraq has been destroyed and then recreated dozens of times going so far back it was not even called Iraq. Which one of these events are you referring to?

Obviously the nation state. Iraq the nation state is very different from Iraq the geographic area.
I simply deny everything you said here. My contention is that to the best of my knowledge the analogy between Japan in the 40s and our involvement in Iraq are as similar in their core attributes as any other similar military event I can think of. The difference is the way we finished the war in Iraq and Japan. What we did in Iraq worked horrifically, what we did in Japan however worked as well as anyone could reasonably hope. If you do not agree with this analogy then please first explain exactly what is wrong with it then provide a single better event to use as the analogy and preferably not a relatively small and obscure event.

It worked in Japan for the same reason Britain could rule India with a few thousand soldiers, you had local cooperation. You ruled through the Japanese, using Japanese instruments of state and giving directives to Japanese bureaucrats and politicians who enforced them.

Japanese governance was very effective and Japanese society was disciplined and hierarchical with a figurehead in the Emperor who could bestow legitimacy on the whole operation.

Can you explain who you were going to rule through in Iraq? Who were the locals that you were going to rely on to turn your ideas into realities? Remember your government actually made it a policy to destroy all vestiges of Baathist power.



My views are about how the military should have been used. In a very general sense we should have maintained our military efforts far longer than we did. Instead of politicians ruining everything the military gained through blood, sweat, and tears the military should have imposed martial law until Iraq's political infrastructure was well established and entrenched. For example General Macarthur pacified post war Japan instead of the politicians doing so in Iraq.

See above

Now I am not arrogant enough to suggest I was aware of the terrible Iraqi ineptitude and corruption that would come into play after major operations ceased, but I was sufficient skeptical of them that I would not have secured from marshal law until things there met my satisfaction.

It didn't require a crystal ball to see it coming to be fair. A competent, efficient and clean bureaucracy wasn't going to appear out of thin air.

So that every eruption in violence would be met with a virtually apocalyptic response. I could type pages containing military capabilities I would have kept in place and used in Iraq for far longer than it actually was.

Jihadis attack, you destroy mostly civilian neighborhood. Jihadis attack, you destroy mostly civilian neighborhood. How's this going to move a country towards stability?

I am not qualified to evaluate or suggest how the nation building should have gone, but I am qualified to say how the military situation should have gone. With my full plan in place Iraq could have taken a decade to get their political and theological house in order.

A decade??? To reshape an entire culture, to cultivate a rule of law and respect for government institutions, to create an honest and effictive bureaucracy, to create a sense of national unity beyond narrow tribal and ethno-religious lines, to create a democracy from thin air where nothing even remotely resembling one has really ever existed in 3000+ years of history? Very naive.

40 years would be wildly optimistic, a decade is pie in the sky dreaming.

No matter their 'moral fortitude' US presidents serve a term at a time. The Iraqis know you can't make any guarantees long term and that pretty soon you'll be gone. They'll take what they can in the short term, and position themselves for the inevitable withdrawal.

Best play the long game, and if you are Shia then the long game is control of the country. The country that was designed to sideline their interests and in which they've been sucking it up ever since. A few more years of waiting for America to go home is nothing.

I do not know how to run a country but I do know how to hold a country militarily until others can figure out how to run it. Obama seems to have failed on both accounts.

Why do you assume someone else has all the answers, perhaps nobody knows how to magic up a liberal democracy in Iraq because it's just not possible in a decade or so.

You don't trust progressive government in America, why do you trust it whole heartedly in Iraq?

Since 9/11, the jihadis have played your government like a drum and sucked them into a doomed and counterproductive war that was everything they ever dreamed of. A long term, brutal occupation of Iraq, followed by probable civil war once you left isn't harming their cause.

At best you would be delaying problems. Artificial stability doesn't mitigate problems, it simply stores them up longer and makes their explosion worse.
 
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