exchemist
Veteran Member
"They" didn't, actually, but in any case it has nothing to do with monkeypox.They also said covid would die off during the summer when it got hot.
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"They" didn't, actually, but in any case it has nothing to do with monkeypox.They also said covid would die off during the summer when it got hot.
"They" didn't, actually, but in any case it has nothing to do with monkeypox.
Neither "relent" nor "subside" is a synonym for "die off"."The CDC said there is a hypothesis among mathematical modelers that the outbreak "could potentially be seasonal" and relent in warmer conditions."
CDC hopes the coronavirus outbreak is seasonal like the flu and subsides in the summer
We are talking about monkeypox.
Neither "relent" nor "subside" is a synonym for "die off".
Just saying Monkeypox's higher estimate (2.13) is near to that of the Wuhan variant of Covid-19 (2.79)
Yes. Which covid does in summer. And then it comes back in the colder weather.Yeah my bad. I should have said die down
Yeah. If you’re not a promiscuous gay I wouldn’t worry.
So reaching a plateau, at very low numbers, then. Rather as one might have expected.452 England , 478 UK
So reaching a plateau, at very low numbers, then. Rather as one might have expected.
Next...........
That’s not what I said. I said “reaching”.>50% increase in a week (for 3 weeks) is a plateau ?
That’s not what I said. I said “reaching”.
You posted earlier an exponential growth pattern for this disease. Instead, what we have is a growth curve that is flattening.
Whereas last time it was 50% in a week. So that is a slowing down of the rate of increase, whereas an exponential would have a continually growing rate of increase.478 to 793 in a week so now it's a 40% increase in a week
Whereas last time it was 50% in a week. So that is a slowing down of the rate of increase, whereas an exponential would have a continually growing rate of increase.
This is consistent with R<1. So yes, it seems to be heading towards a plateau and then most likely a decline. As expected.
It was an exponential rise for quite a long time, the number of cases doubling every 5-7 days or so. That involves the rate of growth itself increasing. In graphical terms , the slope of the curve was getting steeper al the time. Whereas with monkeypox, the slope of the curve seems to be already becoming less over time, i.e. flattening out.I couldn't find the UK Covid-19 growth figures (only charts and graphs) but wasn't it a sudden explosion ? Because we didn't confirm Covid-19 in the UK until January/February
It was an exponential rise for quite a long time, the number of cases doubling every 5-7 days or so. That involves the rate of growth itself increasing. In graphical terms , the slope of the curve was getting steeper al the time. Whereas with monkeypox, the slope of the curve seems to be already becoming less over time, i.e. flattening out.
It went up to 1076 on 26th June so 35% increase in 4 days478 to 793 in a week so now it's a 40% increase in a week
There will be scatter in the data. You would need to use consistent data over a period, and plot a best fit curve through the data points, to see the trend. But it's obviously levelling off, as expected for a disease that has low transmissibility.It went up to 1076 on 26th June so 35% increase in 4 days
It went up to 1235 on 30th June so 55% increase in 8 days
Between 26th and 30th June It was a 14% increase in 4 days