questfortruth
Well-Known Member
Anything can be examined by science, even the beliefs like "unscientific precognition" (e.g. by TV-show "Mythbusters")?
The needed test starts by:
Take the PC random number generator, which output is 1 or 2.
Make it run 3 times, hereby you try to predict the coming number.
Using Science calculate the theoretical probabilities for all 3 successful guesses, and then for 2, 1, 0 successful guesses. You will start a 4x2 table.
Repeat the procedure 100x100 times, and calculate the experimental probabilities for those guesses with the calculated standard deviation for each class (3,2,1,0) of guesses - the sigma_1, sigma_2, sigma_3, sigma_0. If in some of 4 classes the difference between experimental and theoretical probability will be larger than 5 sigma-s, then it is the confirmation of the precognition ability.
Opponent: "Getting that down to 5 sigmas with human experiments is going to be impractical, to say the least."
I strongly disagree. My test above, if the effect is present, easily gets 5 sigma. Just say 10000 numbers (1 or 2) in a row, then let run the random generator. You do not need to run the generator every time you predict a number. Just say 10000 numbers one after another, and then run the random generator. Then you will definitely exclude the effect or confirm it. Hereby replace in the text above the classes (3,2,1,0) with simple (1,0) for saving the experiment time.
The people have not tried to get 5sigma, they are afraid to. Prophet Jesus Christ and the thinker Sokrates were murdered for following the Truth.
The needed test starts by:
Take the PC random number generator, which output is 1 or 2.
Make it run 3 times, hereby you try to predict the coming number.
Using Science calculate the theoretical probabilities for all 3 successful guesses, and then for 2, 1, 0 successful guesses. You will start a 4x2 table.
Repeat the procedure 100x100 times, and calculate the experimental probabilities for those guesses with the calculated standard deviation for each class (3,2,1,0) of guesses - the sigma_1, sigma_2, sigma_3, sigma_0. If in some of 4 classes the difference between experimental and theoretical probability will be larger than 5 sigma-s, then it is the confirmation of the precognition ability.
Opponent: "Getting that down to 5 sigmas with human experiments is going to be impractical, to say the least."
I strongly disagree. My test above, if the effect is present, easily gets 5 sigma. Just say 10000 numbers (1 or 2) in a row, then let run the random generator. You do not need to run the generator every time you predict a number. Just say 10000 numbers one after another, and then run the random generator. Then you will definitely exclude the effect or confirm it. Hereby replace in the text above the classes (3,2,1,0) with simple (1,0) for saving the experiment time.
The people have not tried to get 5sigma, they are afraid to. Prophet Jesus Christ and the thinker Sokrates were murdered for following the Truth.