Bill Gates: Epidemic disease or virus is world's danger today

Bill Gates: Epidemic disease or virus is world's danger today

If I could change my education and profession, do it all over if you will, I would discipline in epidemiology instead of computer science. It has been an interest, for decades now.

I agree with Bill Gates. Gates said the other day, "I rate the chance of a widespread epidemic, far worse than Ebola, in my lifetime, as well over 50%."

LINK:

Bill Gates biggest fear is a killer flu - Business Insider

The greatest immanent threat?
Nuclear war? Yes, a problem
Global warming (what a joke imho)?
Islamic extremists? Big problem
Global economic collapse? Scary, could happen

But ...

"In many ways, we're even more vulnerable to an infectious catastrophe today."

Gates tells Vox that according to his modeling, 50 times more people cross borders today than they did back in 1918 (when 'Spanish flu' broke out - no one actually knows where it started, China? Chickens? Marmots?) ....

"We've created, in terms of spread, the most dangerous environment that we've ever had in the history of mankind," Gates tells Vox.

Coulter refused to "hug" the "immigrant". Good idea. And in California, Texas, Arizona, New Mexico, and any state with a meat packing plant within 50 miles of your town in the "North", wash your hands regularly.

It is not possible to build shelters against every kind of extinction level event, but it is possible to build shelters against specific kinds. I think we should build multiple kinds of shelters so that in the event of one of these events at least some people will survive, and people should take shifts living in them, perhaps several weeks at a time. Keeping people living in the shelters in rotation would provide an existential buffer. People would be drafted to take their turn in shelter. It should be a bit like jury duty, where individuals get called up before the duty board to do their time in the shelter.

I'm not sure how many kinds of shelters we should have, but we should think of all the possible or likely extinction level events and try to build each shelter well enough to withstand at least two kinds of events.

Brickjectivity said:

It is not possible to build shelters against every kind of extinction level event, but it is possible to build shelters against specific kinds. I think we should build multiple kinds of shelters so that in the event of one of these events at least some people will survive, and people should take shifts living in them, perhaps several weeks at a time. Keeping people living in the shelters in rotation would provide an existential buffer. People would be drafted to take their turn in shelter. It should be a bit like jury duty, where individuals get called up before the duty board to do their time in the shelter.

I'm not sure how many kinds of shelters we should have, but we should think of all the possible or likely extinction level events and try to build each shelter well enough to withstand at least two kinds of events.

Click to expand...

Fun Fun!

savagewind said:

Fun Fun!

Click to expand...

It could be like camping.

Brickjectivity said:

It is not possible to build shelters against every kind of extinction level event, but it is possible to build shelters against specific kinds. I think we should build multiple kinds of shelters so that in the event of one of these events at least some people will survive, and people should take shifts living in them, perhaps several weeks at a time. Keeping people living in the shelters in rotation would provide an existential buffer. People would be drafted to take their turn in shelter. It should be a bit like jury duty, where individuals get called up before the duty board to do their time in the shelter.

I'm not sure how many kinds of shelters we should have, but we should think of all the possible or likely extinction level events and try to build each shelter well enough to withstand at least two kinds of events.

Click to expand...

What happens to people who refuse to take a turn in the shelter?

Sultan Of Swing said:

What happens to people who refuse to take a turn in the shelter?

Click to expand...

If they have good reasons, then they could be excused or could delay their turn. I suppose if they could afford to pay a fine, then that would be acceptable, or if they could pay someone else to take their turn. Wealthy people would not be affected much, and very few people would be affected overall. No doubt there would be plenty of volunteers, so that if somebody didn't want to go then a replacement could be found. We aren't talking about Noah's ark but just some shelters with enough people to 'Start over'. How many would it take? Well the more the better, but I'd shoot for 50 people per type of shelter, although 20 per shelter would probably be enough. I think in total we are talking about 350 people at a time, and it should probably be younger people plus staff to keep order.

Sultan Of Swing said:

What happens to people who refuse to take a turn in the shelter?

Click to expand...

They will all walk into the wall...