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  #1  
Old 02-19-2008, 08:30 PM
Francine Offline
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Default Obama and McCain win Wisconsin
"We've always said that Wisconsin is challenging. ... There's a very substantial independent vote that is very favorable to Sen. Obama," Clinton's chief strategist and pollster Mark Penn told reporters.

ABC News: Obama, McCain Win Wisconsin Primaries
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  #2  
Old 02-20-2008, 12:26 AM
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She's still leading in Ohio and Texas so it should be long before she's back in the lead.
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  #3  
Old 02-20-2008, 02:03 AM
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She's still leading in Ohio and Texas so it should be long before she's back in the lead.
It's a dead heat in Texas and the gap is closing fast in Ohio. Unlike the GOP, the delegates are proportional, so she has to win her big states by huge margins at this point to make a dent in his delegate lead, which isn't likely to happen. She may actually lose Texas and Ohio is going to be within 8%.
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  #4  
Old 02-20-2008, 08:18 AM
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Originally Posted by doppelgänger View Post
It's a dead heat in Texas and the gap is closing fast in Ohio. Unlike the GOP, the delegates are proportional, so she has to win her big states by huge margins at this point to make a dent in his delegate lead, which isn't likely to happen. She may actually lose Texas and Ohio is going to be within 8%.
Then there's the bandwagon effect, you know, like when Seattle went to the Superbowl a couple years ago, suddenly everyone in Oregon and Washington were long time Seachickens fans.
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  #5  
Old 02-20-2008, 11:41 AM
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Originally Posted by doppelgänger View Post
It's a dead heat in Texas and the gap is closing fast in Ohio. Unlike the GOP, the delegates are proportional, so she has to win her big states by huge margins at this point to make a dent in his delegate lead, which isn't likely to happen. She may actually lose Texas and Ohio is going to be within 8%.
Where are you getting your information? I don't doubt that the gap is closing, but she's up by 7 points in Texas and up even more in Ohio according to: RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Ohio Democratic Primary.

I'd be happy if she continues to plunge.
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  #6  
Old 02-20-2008, 11:42 AM
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Then there's the bandwagon effect, you know, like when Seattle went to the Superbowl a couple years ago, suddenly everyone in Oregon and Washington were long time Seachickens fans.
The way things are going, your vote in Oregon might actually be meaningful this election year.
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  #7  
Old 02-20-2008, 11:47 AM
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I might just stay home - nobody looks good to me.
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  #8  
Old 02-20-2008, 11:50 AM
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I might just stay home - nobody looks good to me.
If you choose not to decide you still have made a choice.
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  #9  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:08 PM
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Where are you getting your information? I don't doubt that the gap is closing, but she's up by 7 points in Texas and up even more in Ohio according to: RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - Ohio Democratic Primary.

I'd be happy if she continues to plunge.
The tide in these primaries is shifting very quickly. The newer polls have the gap closed in Ohio considerably in just the last week. SUSA, which has been especially accurate this primary season has it now at only 9%. SurveyUSA Election Poll #13366 which is amazing since it was 17% just a week ago in the same poll. Wisconsin polling had Clinton up by 25 points prior to Super Tuesday and she lost by 17% last night.

In Texas, the gap is down to within the margin of error in several of the most recent polls. CNN's poll released on Monday had them 2% apart with a 4% margin of error.
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  #10