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  #11  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:18 PM
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Originally Posted by yossarian22 View Post
A bit off topic but, statistics like that really annoys me. If you know the race is going to be close, lower the damn margin of error.
I agree. Given the trend lines, I don't think it's going to be close when all is said and done though.

Pollster.com
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  #12  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:33 PM
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Originally Posted by nutshell View Post
The way things are going, your vote in Oregon might actually be meaningful this election year.
By May 20 Obama should have it wrapped up, he's going to win Texas and he's going to come close to winning Ohio. The Clinton campaign itself maintains that Ohio and Texas are "must win" states.
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  #13  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:33 PM
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I would add that the demographic trends are looking especially bad for Clinton. Where she was once untouchable: Hispanic voters, women and low-income voters, Obama is steadily making inroads. The only place she still maintains a clear advantage is among elderly women.
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  #14  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:42 PM
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Originally Posted by doppelgänger View Post
I agree. Given the trend lines, I don't think it's going to be close when all is said and done though.

Pollster.com
That's impressive. According to that, Obama will have a 49.1~% by the end of February. What is more impressive is the predicted 0.41% growth per day.
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  #15  
Old 02-20-2008, 01:48 PM
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To make matters worse, most of the big unions, who are critical to success among lower income working voters (a former demographic stronghold of Clinton's) are now on the Obama train. Following the UFCW and SEIU last week, the Teamsters and the Boilermakers have now endorsed Obama as well.

Teamsters union to endorse Barack Obama - Yahoo! News

Ohio is 14% union.
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  #16  
Old 02-20-2008, 03:01 PM
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Originally Posted by doppelgänger View Post
The tide in these primaries is shifting very quickly. The newer polls have the gap closed in Ohio considerably in just the last week. SUSA, which has been especially accurate this primary season has it now at only 9%. SurveyUSA Election Poll #13366 which is amazing since it was 17% just a week ago in the same poll. Wisconsin polling had Clinton up by 25 points prior to Super Tuesday and she lost by 17% last night.

In Texas, the gap is down to within the margin of error in several of the most recent polls. CNN's poll released on Monday had them 2% apart with a 4% margin of error.

Thanks. Hillary has opened tons of offices in the two states and sending everyone who work for here there. In other words, Hillary is "all in."
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  #17  
Old 02-20-2008, 03:03 PM
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I have many friends who think Obama cannot beat McCain, but Hillary can. They see it as the rookie vs. the war hero.
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  #18  
Old 02-20-2008, 04:05 PM
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If you choose not to decide you still have made a choice.

cue Rush
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  #19  
Old 02-20-2008, 04:16 PM
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