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  #1  
Old 10-29-2004, 06:45 AM
Pah Offline
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Default The Monty Hall problem

A TV host shows you three numbered doors (all three equally likely), one hiding a car and the other two hiding goats. You get to pick a door, winning whatever is behind it. Regardless of the door you choose, the host, who knows where the car is, then opens one of the other two doors to reveal a goat, and invites you to switch your choice if you so wish.

Does switching increases your chances of winning the car?
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  #2  
Old 10-29-2004, 07:06 AM
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Yes.

(jiggity bop, gotta get above 10 chars!)
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  #3  
Old 10-29-2004, 07:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by meogi
Yes.
Are you sure?
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  #4  
Old 10-29-2004, 10:31 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by pah
Are you sure?
Why would the chances be any better by switiching? There are still two doors. Doesn't that make the odds 50/50?
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  #5  
Old 10-29-2004, 11:53 PM
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I must be making these too easy. Both QTpi and meogi are right.

-pah-
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  #6  
Old 11-05-2004, 09:45 PM
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If I was Amish I would not want the car to begin with I would rather have the goat and would still take the chance of picking the other door to get the other goat. Of course, I would ask Monty if I got to keep both goats. ( more Goats milk)
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