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#51
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"Can omniscient God, who knows the future, find the omnipotence to change His future mind?" -- Karen Owens Last edited by camanintx; 02-12-2008 at 08:03 PM. |
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#52
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And the intermission is over, and my dissection continues. Look my more thorough dissection of what you did wrong for more detailed specifics.
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Again, I am not a biologist, nor do I pretend to be one. I am a statistician. And I told you substantiate your claim of a calculation. Your response fails to meet even the most basic criteria for statistical modelling Quote:
I could write a long winded response to this, but why beat around the bush. I do not care what you think is true. Show that it is 'all but impossible' Statistics require empirical evidence. A whole lot of empirical evidence. Quote:
We really need a broken record icon thing. Empiricism is your friend. Well, maybe not yours, but its certainly the friend of statistics. Unsubstantiated drivel. Spades of it Quote:
Yes you did. Check your calculations. An amino acid exists at a single point in time by your model. The formation of an amino acid is a single event. An absurd idea (unless an amino acid instantaneously composed, hence my labelling of 'lacking realism. Quote:
Really? When did Darwinism become a mathematical model? Oh wait, its not. And it never was. And for my last trick, the biggest rabbit from my hat, if you will..... Abiogenesis is not Darwinism nor is it in the Darwinistic paradigm. So, assuming your model is valid (and it most certainly isn't.) you have shown that abiogensis is mathematically impossible. But, as mentioned before abiogenesis is not darwinism. Quote:
Again the need for me to repeat myself. This appears to be a trend in these 'debates'. I do not need to provide a competing model to invalidate yours. You either reject the null, or fail to reject the null. And your position sure ain't the null. On a more serious note, if somebody took the time and gave me the parameters, I could produce a model. But that is beyond the scope of this discussion as I dislike bringing calculus (which has an almost 100% chance of being required for modeling) into a discussion [qupte]To reiterate : " The Odds for selecting exclusively left handed AA's at random , from spontaneously generated AA's ( which science predicts would be half ' right handed ) are indeed ( .5 ) [/quote] I will alert every statistician that any binomial distribution follows B(n,.5) no matter what. I am sure they will be astonished. I hope I don't need to point out the idiocy of that statement Quote:
Ah, so they are independent? Do you have even an inkling of evidence to support this? Or to put this very very bluntly so you can't dance around Prove that the formation of proteins from amino acids can be broken down into several steps, each totally independent of one another. Quote:
I feel like vomiting now. What you posted was one of the largest butcheries of basic probability theory I have in a long long long time. Quote:
You aren't even in the same order of magnitude. Your model basically says this 1. Because we cannot envision a reason why amino acids formed are left handed, we can arbitrarily assign a probability of .5 2: The formation of amino acids and subsequent bonding can be considered independent events 3: The formation of amino acids and subsequent bonding of amino acids can be treated as single events There are more, but these three are enough to demolish the validity of your model. [quote[ Find me a single scientist Yossarian...with ' CLUE ONE' as to how a protein could be spontaneously made in the prebiotic soup ? GOOD LUCK WITH THAT Kemosabey ! [/quote]I'll pass thanks. I do not keep myself up to date with this stuff. I made my comment for a reason. Either you were lying and would leave, or would attempt to offer an extremely weak attempt to create and define a model which flawed at the most fundamental level, revealing your poor grasp of probability. Either way, I never once demanded you to show the calculation (apologies if it seemed like I did) I asked you to cite the calculation. Yours is too flawed to be acceptable. Even a cursory glance over it reveals three massive fundamental flaws. I say again, cite on these legions of experts who created a model about this. I am not adverse to being wrong, I have no vested interest in the validity of evolution. Quote:
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Convenient. Nevertheless, I am sure you could paraphrase one of the models. The abstracts are good. Quote:
My local library lacks this paper. Quote:
That's not the problem. Even if I agreed with you, my response would be roughly the same. Stop butchering probability theory. Just a request. i could proceed to systematically demolish every single attempt at a counter point, but I figure this way is faster. Your model is critically flawed. Furthermore, I am not going to dig up your evidence and refute them.
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Don't worry about people stealing your ideas. If your ideas are any good, you'll have to ram them down people's throats. ~Howard Aiken |
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#53
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Mestemia:
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Au contraire...as per usual u misconstrue what I’m saying ( purposely, or simply due to a lack of understanding ? ) I believe in Evolution remember ?...An INTELLIGENT EVOLUTION...A PURPOSEFUL EVOLUTION...But NOT in THE Un-intelligent/blind/Spontaneous/ Darwinian EVOLUTION OF LIFE/THE COSMOS ...There’s a Big Big BIG DIFFERENCE ! Quote:
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Sorry, but that’s pure nonsense...I have merely contended that a blind/ chance/ purely Darwinian Evolution NEVER HAPPENED ! And this debate is most assuredly NOT IRRELEVANT , irrespective of ur nonsensical assertions here. **** At the risk of repeating myself ad nauseam Mestemia....I’m NOT saying evolution did not happen. I’m saying evolution was NOT, and could NOT have been underpinned by blind Darwinian forces...That’s Mathematically IMPOSSIBLE IMO ( and again to my knowledge, every mathematician whose ever considered the odds, agrees with me about this ! ) In terms of sheer probability... belief in blind Darwinism IS irrational. Seriously, Find me a single Mathematician who claims otherwise/ has composed any probabilistic models which conclude anything different...I’ll lay dollars to donuts...YOU WON’T FIND ONE ![]() *** Ok Here’s a simple / real life analogy Mestemia ...I’ve used it before, in another thread...BUT ( assuming any here read it ) some obviously didn’t GET IT the first time ![]() Quote:
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Alright Mestemia ( I’m trying to be patient here ) suppose we substitute the word CARS for LIFE in ur above commentary. Now imagine there’s some ' Manic/Mestemia-wannabe' who’s fully convinced that modern CARS got here because of blind/random/purely naturalistic forces...I don’t know ? the wind, rain, earth upheaval volcanism, take ur pick...Of course, I’m being ( purposely ) nonsensical/irrational... But then again, so were u , in ur original post IMO Obviously , CARS have evolved, so has the cosmos, and so has LIFE ....I’m certainly NOT denying any of this...BUT has this evolution, been underpinned by INTELLIGENCE? or by purely spontaneous/ blind / dispassionate Darwinian forces? ...CLEARLY Kemosabey that's the crux of the biscuit/ the core of our debate Now if u said to me; ‘ the ONLY possibility is that CARS evolved spontaneously ( albeit honed by Natural Selection / consumer’s taste/ choice etcetera... ) Otherwise CARS would NOT be here for us to DRIVE...I’d have to bite my tongue not to laugh at you... And by the same token.....if u said to me ( and u basically did ) that: ‘ the ONLY possibility is that LIFE evolved spontaneously ( albeit honed by Natural Selection/ predator’s taste/choice etcetera... ) Otherwise WE would NOT be here to DISCUSS LIFE...I’d have to bite my tongue again. **** Ok this is called learning thru repetition ...so for all those who ( sad to say ) haven't been paying attention...kindly repeat after me : Quote:
![]() CHEERS ET AL. Last edited by Hela cells/lab pandemic; 02-14-2008 at 05:50 AM. |
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#54
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Sorry but I want to re-cap , before responding to some of the latest posts ( which btw... I haven’t even read yet/ too many distractions/ pressed for time...I WILL ! )
Ok ...DEJA VU TIME : Yossarian Quote:
Seriously, STEP UP TO THE PLATE Sonny B...Let’s C if You Can Handle The High Heat ?... Which I DOUBT ![]() Actually, I thrown this One...Twice before...and u didn’t even offer so much as a FEEBLE SWING Y ?...Which leads me to think that ur Bravado is Bogus....But Hey , maybe you’ll surprise me this time...Ok Here comes the Pitch...’ SWING BATTER’ ![]() Quote:
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Funny, But when the tables are turned...all I hear are CRICKETS CHIRPING ? ![]() **** Sorry but no more time...to post today...I’ve gotta Bug out...( P.S. Yossarian, as mentioned earlier, I haven’t had time to read all the posts, so maybe u’ve responded to my repeated challenge/question already ??? Hopefully, u have ...) CHEERS AGAIN ET AL.. |
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#55
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Hela, it is very plain to see that you have no real training in many of the fields that you are touching on in your discussions. Am I wrong in this notion? Linguistic adeptness is handy, but sadly, it is no replacement for cold hard facts. I suspect that is what Yossarian was getting at in his statements about "BS-ing". You talk a good game, but your thinking on ambiogenesis is flawed. Nice try though.
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It is true that the early bird gets the worm, however, it is the second mouse, that gets the cheese.
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#56
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Since you apparently like playing games, let me suggest one that will better illustrate how evolution and natural selection actually works.
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"Can omniscient God, who knows the future, find the omnipotence to change His future mind?" -- Karen Owens |
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#57
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Wow.
Out of the three things he attributes me saying, I have only actually said ONE of them...
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. Anyone who is capable of getting themselves made President should on no account be allowed to do the job. ~Douglas Adams |
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#58
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